Ajax at Heerenveen

Updated

Ajax

73.7%11.2%15.1%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.86Projected Goals 0.59
2Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Utrecht-455
W 0-3 vs Groningen
W 5-0 at Fortuna Sittard-800
W 0-9 vs Cambuur-1150
W 2-0 at Zwolle-550
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-0 at Zwolle+185
L 3-2 vs Twente+130
L 1-3 at Feyenoord+850
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-140
T 1-1 at Groningen+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-425-500-500-435-530-476-435-362.8
Heerenveen+900+1000+1100+1101+1089+1100+1101+1145.7
Draw+550+600+640+610+643+640+643+636.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-400-----450-450-362.8
Heerenveen+875----+1000+1000+1145.7
Draw+545----+600+600+636.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -507 to -530
Heerenveen ML moved from +1115 to +1101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -400 to -450
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3¾-118o3¾-119o3¾-116-o3¾-119o3¾-116o3¾-108
Underu3½-105u3¾-102u3¾-101u3¾+101-u3¾-101u3¾+101u3¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾-108
Under-----u3¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.18%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 418.73%
Exactly 67.42%
Exactly 81.58%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.97%
Exactly 321.73%
Exactly 512.92%
Exactly 73.66%
Exactly 90.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 116.35%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.98%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 055.71%
Exactly 132.59%
Exactly 29.53%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.26%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 45.48%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.35%
Exactly 313.74%
Exactly 51.75%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 026.56%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 076.27%
Exactly 120.66%
Exactly 22.80%
Exactly 30.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals64.51%
Wins by 3+ goals42.49%
Wins by 4+ goals23.88%
Wins by 5+ goals11.54%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals1.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.18%
Wins by 2 goals22.02%
Wins by 3 goals18.61%
Wins by 4 goals12.34%
Wins by 5 goals6.71%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal3.91%
Wins by 2 goals0.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.82%3.18%
1.585.85%14.15%
2.566.94%33.06%
3.545.21%54.79%
4.526.48%73.52%
5.513.56%86.44%
6.56.14%93.86%
7.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.94%22.06%
2.554.54%45.46%
3.532.21%67.79%
4.516.23%83.77%
5.57.07%92.93%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.29%55.71%
1.511.70%88.30%
2.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.74%20.26%
1.547.39%52.61%
2.521.57%78.43%
3.57.83%92.17%
4.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score0123
0
3.18%
1.86%
0.54%
0.11%
1
9.11%
5.33%
1.56%
0.30%
2
13.04%
7.63%
2.23%
0.44%
3
12.44%
7.28%
2.13%
0.42%
4
8.90%
5.21%
1.52%
0.30%
5
5.10%
2.98%
0.87%
0.17%
Ajax
1-09.11%
2-013.04%
2-17.63%
3-012.44%
3-17.28%
3-22.13%
4-08.90%
4-15.21%
4-21.52%
4-30.30%
5-05.10%
5-12.98%
5-20.87%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-03.18%
1-15.33%
2-22.23%
3-30.42%
Heerenveen
0-11.86%
0-20.54%
1-21.56%
0-30.11%
1-30.30%
2-30.44%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Heerenveen
Score012
0
20.26%
5.49%
0.74%
1
26.86%
7.27%
0.99%
2
17.80%
4.82%
0.65%
3
7.87%
2.13%
0.29%
4
2.61%
0.71%
0.10%
5
0.69%
0.19%
0.03%
6
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-026.86%
2-017.80%
2-14.82%
3-07.87%
3-12.13%
3-20.29%
4-02.61%
4-10.71%
5-00.69%
5-10.19%
6-00.15%
Draw
0-020.26%
1-17.27%
2-20.65%
Heerenveen
0-15.49%
0-20.74%
1-20.99%