Groningen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Groningen

36.3%28.5%35.2%
Groningen WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.12
4Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Groningen
Money Line
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+200
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-125
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen+175
W 0-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+315
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+205
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+410
L 4-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+840
L 3-4 at Go Ahead Eagles+310
T 1-1 at Willem II+320
W 0-1 vs Cambuur+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+165+170+159+179+169+172+179+185.6
Fortuna Sittard+155+160+169+170+153+156+170+173.2
Draw+245+210+240+238+240+240+240+252.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Groningen+150----+165+165+185.6
Fortuna Sittard+190----+170+170+173.2
Draw+225----+230+230+252.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +134 to +128
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +178 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Groningen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Groningen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Groningen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Groningen ML moved from +150 to +130
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +195 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-106o2½+100-o2½-106o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-114u2½-115-u2½-114u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 031.39%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.07%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 058.48%
Exactly 131.37%
Exactly 28.41%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 059.51%
Exactly 130.89%
Exactly 28.01%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals15.24%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals13.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.41%
Wins by 2 goals10.37%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal20.72%
Wins by 2 goals9.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.44%33.56%
2.539.85%60.15%
3.519.65%80.35%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.61%31.39%
1.532.23%67.77%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.86%69.14%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.46%71.54%
2.59.08%90.92%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
10.23%
11.47%
6.43%
2.40%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.86%
13.29%
7.45%
2.78%
0.78%
0.17%
2
6.87%
7.70%
4.31%
1.61%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.65%
2.97%
1.67%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.77%
0.86%
0.48%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Groningen
1-011.86%
2-06.87%
2-17.70%
3-02.65%
3-12.97%
3-21.67%
4-00.77%
4-10.86%
4-20.48%
4-30.18%
5-00.18%
5-10.20%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.23%
1-113.29%
2-24.31%
3-30.62%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.47%
0-26.43%
1-27.45%
0-32.40%
1-32.78%
2-31.61%
0-40.67%
1-40.78%
2-40.45%
3-40.17%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
34.81%
18.06%
4.69%
0.81%
0.11%
1
18.67%
9.69%
2.51%
0.43%
0.06%
2
5.01%
2.60%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.90%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Groningen
1-018.67%
2-05.01%
2-12.60%
3-00.90%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.81%
1-19.69%
2-20.67%
Fortuna Sittard
0-118.06%
0-24.69%
1-22.51%
0-30.81%
1-30.43%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
Cambuur at NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk at Zwolle