Willem II at Zwolle

Updated

Willem II

33.8%25.3%40.9%
Willem II WinDrawZwolle Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 2

Zwolle

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 1-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+165
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1050
L 3-1 vs Cambuur+150
L 0-5 at Ajax+3000
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles-110
Zwolle
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vitesse+525
L 3-1 vs Twente+245
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+105
T 1-1 at Groningen+400
T 0-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+230+215+170+208+187+170+215+227.5
Zwolle+115+135+145+144+145+145+145+155.6
Draw+230+210+220+225+229+220+229+229.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+270----+190+190+227.5
Zwolle+105----+150+150+155.6
Draw+240----+225+225+229.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Zwolle: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +185 to +178
Zwolle ML moved from +160 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Zwolle: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Zwolle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +165 to -110
Zwolle ML moved from +205 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2¼-105o2¼-110o2½+117-o2¼-110o2¼-105o2¼-102
Underu2½-125u2¼-115u2¼-110u2½-137-u2¼-110u2½-137u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%
 
No44.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 415.25%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.55%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.40%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 028.79%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 022.15%
Exactly 133.39%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 312.64%
Exactly 44.76%
Exactly 51.44%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.96%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 39.65%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 056.18%
Exactly 132.39%
Exactly 29.34%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 049.76%
Exactly 134.73%
Exactly 212.12%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals13.23%
Wins by 3+ goals4.37%
Wins by 4+ goals1.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals21.30%
Wins by 3+ goals8.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Zwolle
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal18.12%
Wins by 2 goals8.86%
Wins by 3 goals3.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal21.94%
Wins by 2 goals12.98%
Wins by 3 goals5.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.07%23.93%
2.551.92%48.08%
3.529.76%70.24%
4.514.50%85.50%
5.56.11%93.89%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.21%28.79%
1.535.37%64.63%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.78%96.22%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.85%22.15%
1.544.46%55.54%
2.519.30%80.70%
3.56.66%93.34%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.04%27.96%
1.536.41%63.59%
2.513.71%86.29%
3.54.06%95.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Zwolle
Score012345
0
6.38%
9.61%
7.24%
3.64%
1.37%
0.41%
1
7.94%
11.97%
9.02%
4.53%
1.71%
0.51%
2
4.94%
7.45%
5.62%
2.82%
1.06%
0.32%
3
2.05%
3.09%
2.33%
1.17%
0.44%
0.13%
4
0.64%
0.96%
0.73%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.16%
0.24%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Willem II
1-07.94%
2-04.94%
2-17.45%
3-02.05%
3-13.09%
3-22.33%
4-00.64%
4-10.96%
4-20.73%
4-30.36%
5-00.16%
5-10.24%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.38%
1-111.97%
2-25.62%
3-31.17%
4-40.14%
Zwolle
0-19.61%
0-27.24%
1-29.02%
0-33.64%
1-34.53%
2-32.82%
0-41.37%
1-41.71%
2-41.06%
3-40.44%
0-50.41%
1-50.51%
2-50.32%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Zwolle
Score01234
0
27.96%
19.51%
6.81%
1.58%
0.28%
1
16.12%
11.25%
3.93%
0.91%
0.16%
2
4.65%
3.24%
1.13%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.89%
0.62%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Willem II
1-016.12%
2-04.65%
2-13.24%
3-00.89%
3-10.62%
3-20.22%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-027.96%
1-111.25%
2-21.13%
Zwolle
0-119.51%
0-26.81%
1-23.93%
0-31.58%
1-30.91%
2-30.26%
0-40.28%
1-40.16%
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