Willem II at Ajax

Updated

Willem II

5.3%3.0%91.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.24Projected Goals 4.07
0Final Score 5

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles-110
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+290
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+135
L 1-5 at Utrecht+700
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-120
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-650
W 5-0 at RKC Waalwijk-900
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo-475
W 0-5 vs PSV Eindhoven-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+1300+3000+2900+3276+3070+2900+3276+3749.0
Ajax-600-2000-1667-1728-2262-1667-1667-988.6
Draw+625+1200+1200+1538+1312+1200+1538+1417.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+2200----+3000+3000+3749.0
Ajax-975-----1500-1500-988.6
Draw+900----+1100+1100+1417.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +3500 to +3000
Ajax ML moved from -1350 to -1667

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
Ajax ML moved from -1100 to -1500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o4¼-108o4¼-108o4-123-o4¼-108o4-123o4¼+107
Underu3½-122u4¼-112u4¼-112u4+108-u4¼-112u4¼-112u4¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4¼+107
Under-----u4¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-129 to o3¾-129
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes20.7%
 
No79.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.34%
Exactly 212.47%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 611.96%
Exactly 83.97%
Exactly 100.82%
Exactly 120.12%
 
Exactly 15.79%
Exactly 317.92%
Exactly 516.65%
Exactly 77.37%
Exactly 91.90%
Exactly 110.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 078.93%
Exactly 118.68%
Exactly 22.21%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 01.70%
Exactly 16.93%
Exactly 214.11%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 515.91%
Exactly 610.80%
Exactly 76.29%
Exactly 83.20%
Exactly 91.45%
Exactly 100.59%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 013.59%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 48.99%
Exactly 61.19%
 
Exactly 127.12%
Exactly 318.01%
Exactly 53.59%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 089.62%
Exactly 19.82%
Exactly 20.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 015.16%
Exactly 128.60%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.96%
Exactly 48.00%
Exactly 53.02%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals87.79%
Wins by 3+ goals72.61%
Wins by 4+ goals53.47%
Wins by 5+ goals34.84%
Wins by 6+ goals20.12%
Wins by 7+ goals10.34%
Wins by 8+ goals4.75%
Wins by 9+ goals1.94%
Wins by 10+ goals0.68%
Wins by 11+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Ajax
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal0.50%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal8.56%
Wins by 2 goals15.18%
Wins by 3 goals19.15%
Wins by 4 goals18.63%
Wins by 5 goals14.72%
Wins by 6 goals9.77%
Wins by 7 goals5.59%
Wins by 8 goals2.81%
Wins by 9 goals1.26%
Wins by 10 goals0.51%
Wins by 11 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.66%1.34%
1.592.87%7.13%
2.580.40%19.60%
3.562.48%37.52%
4.543.16%56.84%
5.526.51%73.49%
6.514.55%85.45%
7.57.18%92.82%
8.53.21%96.79%
9.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.521.07%78.93%
1.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.30%1.70%
1.591.37%8.63%
2.577.26%22.74%
3.558.09%41.91%
4.538.57%61.43%
5.522.66%77.34%
6.511.85%88.15%
7.55.57%94.43%
8.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.41%13.59%
1.559.29%40.71%
2.532.22%67.78%
3.514.21%85.79%
4.55.23%94.77%
5.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Ajax
Score01234
0
1.34%
5.47%
11.14%
15.13%
15.41%
1
0.32%
1.29%
2.64%
3.58%
3.65%
Willem II
1-00.32%
Draw
0-01.34%
1-11.29%
2-20.31%
Ajax
0-15.47%
0-211.14%
1-22.64%
0-315.13%
1-33.58%
2-30.42%
0-415.41%
1-43.65%
2-40.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Ajax
Score01234567
0
13.59%
25.63%
24.18%
15.20%
7.17%
2.70%
0.85%
0.23%
1
1.49%
2.81%
2.65%
1.67%
0.79%
0.30%
0.09%
0.03%
Willem II
1-01.49%
Draw
0-013.59%
1-12.81%
Ajax
0-125.63%
0-224.18%
1-22.65%
0-315.20%
1-31.67%
0-47.17%
1-40.79%
0-52.70%
1-50.30%
0-60.85%
0-70.23%