Willem II at Heerenveen

Updated

Willem II

28.6%23.2%48.2%
Willem II WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.79
1Final Score 2

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

Willem II
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+135
L 1-5 at Utrecht+700
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard-120
T 1-1 at Twente+440
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+330
Heerenveen
Money Line
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+210
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+165
L 1-2 at Utrecht+675
L 2-0 vs Ajax+1000
W 1-0 at Zwolle+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+250+275+280+292+278+280+292+307.7
Heerenveen+105-105-110-106-113-110-105-101.8
Draw+260+270+260+287+278+260+287+299.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+275----+290+290+307.7
Heerenveen-105-----115-115-101.8
Draw+265----+285+285+299.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 10.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +285 to +275
Heerenveen ML moved from -110 to -117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Willem II: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +275 to +265
Heerenveen ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-118o2¾-118o2½-143-o2¾-118o2½-143o2¾-106
Underu2¾-108u2¾-102u2¾-102u2½+128-u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-106
Under-----u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.5%
 
No45.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.77%
Exactly 223.47%
Exactly 415.92%
Exactly 64.32%
Exactly 80.63%
 
Exactly 116.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.09%
Exactly 71.76%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 034.58%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.50%
Exactly 36.90%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 016.67%
Exactly 129.87%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.98%
Exactly 47.15%
Exactly 52.56%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.68%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 310.25%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 061.16%
Exactly 130.07%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 043.63%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals8.15%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals30.60%
Wins by 3+ goals13.90%
Wins by 4+ goals5.19%
Wins by 5+ goals1.61%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal14.11%
Wins by 2 goals5.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal23.81%
Wins by 2 goals16.70%
Wins by 3 goals8.71%
Wins by 4 goals3.58%
Wins by 5 goals1.21%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.23%5.77%
1.577.78%22.22%
2.554.32%45.68%
3.531.99%68.01%
4.516.07%83.93%
5.56.99%93.01%
6.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.42%34.58%
1.528.70%71.30%
2.59.20%90.80%
3.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.33%16.67%
1.553.46%46.54%
2.526.71%73.29%
3.510.73%89.27%
4.53.58%96.42%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.32%26.68%
1.538.06%61.94%
2.514.78%85.22%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
5.77%
10.33%
9.25%
5.52%
2.47%
0.89%
1
6.12%
10.97%
9.82%
5.87%
2.63%
0.94%
2
3.25%
5.82%
5.22%
3.11%
1.39%
0.50%
3
1.15%
2.06%
1.85%
1.10%
0.49%
0.18%
4
0.31%
0.55%
0.49%
0.29%
0.13%
0.05%
Willem II
1-06.12%
2-03.25%
2-15.82%
3-01.15%
3-12.06%
3-21.85%
4-00.31%
4-10.55%
4-20.49%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-05.77%
1-110.97%
2-25.22%
3-31.10%
4-40.13%
Heerenveen
0-110.33%
0-29.25%
1-29.82%
0-35.52%
1-35.87%
2-33.11%
0-42.47%
1-42.63%
2-41.39%
3-40.49%
0-50.89%
1-50.94%
2-50.50%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
26.68%
22.13%
9.18%
2.54%
0.53%
1
13.12%
10.88%
4.51%
1.25%
0.26%
2
3.22%
2.67%
1.11%
0.31%
0.06%
3
0.53%
0.44%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Willem II
1-013.12%
2-03.22%
2-12.67%
3-00.53%
3-10.44%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-026.68%
1-110.88%
2-21.11%
Heerenveen
0-122.13%
0-29.18%
1-24.51%
0-32.54%
1-31.25%
2-30.31%
0-40.53%
1-40.26%
Groningen at Go Ahead Eag
Zwolle at Feyenoord