Go Ahead Eag at Ajax

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

2.6%2.7%94.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.10Projected Goals 3.90
0Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
W 2-1 at Vitesse+385
W 2-4 vs Heracles Almelo+190
T 1-1 at RKC Waalwijk+215
L 0-5 at AZ Alkmaar+800
Ajax
Money Line
T 0-0 at Heracles Almelo-475
W 0-5 vs PSV Eindhoven-230
W 2-0 at Heerenveen-450
L 1-0 vs Utrecht-455
W 0-3 vs Groningen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+3000+2200+1400+3773+2572+1400+3773+3869.5
Ajax-2000-1600-2000-1356-1815-2000-1356-1020.3
Draw+1300+1100+1300+1422+1236+1300+1422+1460.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+3869.5
Ajax------1020.3
Draw-----+1460.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +3801 to +3769
Ajax ML moved from -1347 to -1356

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4¼-108o4½-105o4½-105o4½+103-o4½-105o4½+103o4½+108
Underu4¼-112u4½-115u4½-115u4½-116-u4½-115u4½-115u4½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4½+108
Under-----u4½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u4¼-110 to u4¼-129

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes10.0%
 
No90.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.82%
Exactly 214.62%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.45%
Exactly 82.99%
Exactly 100.53%
 
Exactly 17.30%
Exactly 319.51%
Exactly 515.65%
Exactly 75.98%
Exactly 91.33%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 089.75%
Exactly 19.71%
Exactly 20.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.03%
Exactly 17.91%
Exactly 215.42%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 419.51%
Exactly 515.21%
Exactly 69.88%
Exactly 75.50%
Exactly 82.68%
Exactly 91.16%
Exactly 100.45%
Exactly 110.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.66%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 47.71%
Exactly 60.88%
 
Exactly 129.03%
Exactly 316.64%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 095.11%
Exactly 14.76%
Exactly 20.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 016.46%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.11%
Exactly 47.27%
Exactly 52.62%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals88.28%
Wins by 3+ goals72.40%
Wins by 4+ goals52.45%
Wins by 5+ goals33.41%
Wins by 6+ goals18.78%
Wins by 7+ goals9.37%
Wins by 8+ goals4.17%
Wins by 9+ goals1.65%
Wins by 10+ goals0.56%
Wins by 11+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal0.24%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal8.70%
Wins by 2 goals15.88%
Wins by 3 goals19.95%
Wins by 4 goals19.04%
Wins by 5 goals14.63%
Wins by 6 goals9.41%
Wins by 7 goals5.20%
Wins by 8 goals2.52%
Wins by 9 goals1.09%
Wins by 10 goals0.42%
Wins by 11 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.18%1.82%
1.590.88%9.12%
2.576.26%23.74%
3.556.75%43.25%
4.537.21%62.79%
5.521.57%78.43%
6.511.12%88.88%
7.55.14%94.86%
8.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.510.25%89.75%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.97%2.03%
1.590.06%9.94%
2.574.64%25.36%
3.554.61%45.39%
4.535.10%64.90%
5.519.90%80.10%
6.510.02%89.98%
7.54.52%95.48%
8.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.34%15.66%
1.555.31%44.69%
2.528.40%71.60%
3.511.76%88.24%
4.54.05%95.95%
5.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.82%
7.10%
13.84%
17.97%
17.51%
13.65%
1
0.20%
0.77%
1.50%
1.94%
1.89%
1.48%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-00.20%
Draw
0-01.82%
1-10.77%
Ajax
0-17.10%
0-213.84%
1-21.50%
0-317.97%
1-31.94%
2-30.11%
0-417.51%
1-41.89%
2-40.10%
0-513.65%
1-51.48%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score01234567
0
15.66%
28.25%
25.48%
15.33%
6.91%
2.49%
0.75%
0.19%
1
0.78%
1.41%
1.28%
0.77%
0.35%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-00.78%
Draw
0-015.66%
1-11.41%
Ajax
0-128.25%
0-225.48%
1-21.28%
0-315.33%
1-30.77%
0-46.91%
1-40.35%
0-52.49%
1-50.12%
0-60.75%
0-70.19%