NEC Nijmegen at Willem II

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

38.9%27.3%33.9%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawWillem II Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 0

Willem II

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 2-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+875
L 1-2 at RKC Waalwijk+130
L 3-2 vs Cambuur+125
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+775
Willem II
Money Line
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1050
L 3-1 vs Cambuur+150
L 0-5 at Ajax+3000
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles-110
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+180+180+160+181-+160+183+195.7
Willem II+145+165+170+170-+170+170+174.1
Draw+235+200+215+233-+215+233+236.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+195----+175+175+195.7
Willem II+160----+165+165+174.1
Draw+205----+225+225+236.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +160 to +150
Willem II ML moved from +180 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +190 to +155
Willem II ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¼-118o2¼-119o2½+114-o2¼-119o2¼-118o2¼-110
Underu2½-105u2¼-102u2¼-101u2½-129-u2¼-101u2½-129u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.24%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 054.67%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 29.97%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 059.06%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals18.22%
Wins by 3+ goals6.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals12.95%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals11.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal19.29%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals3.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.06%29.94%
2.544.12%55.88%
3.523.01%76.99%
4.510.12%89.88%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.87%27.13%
1.537.47%62.53%
2.514.39%85.61%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.46%68.54%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.21%68.79%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
Score012345
0
8.70%
9.90%
5.63%
2.13%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.35%
12.91%
7.34%
2.78%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.40%
8.42%
4.79%
1.82%
0.52%
0.12%
3
3.22%
3.66%
2.08%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
4
1.05%
1.19%
0.68%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.27%
0.31%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.35%
2-07.40%
2-18.42%
3-03.22%
3-13.66%
3-22.08%
4-01.05%
4-11.19%
4-20.68%
4-30.26%
5-00.27%
5-10.31%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.91%
2-24.79%
3-30.79%
Willem II
0-19.90%
0-25.63%
1-27.34%
0-32.13%
1-32.78%
2-31.82%
0-40.61%
1-40.79%
2-40.52%
3-40.22%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
Score01234
0
32.29%
17.00%
4.48%
0.79%
0.10%
1
19.50%
10.27%
2.70%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.89%
3.10%
0.82%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.19%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-019.50%
2-05.89%
2-13.10%
3-01.19%
3-10.62%
3-20.16%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-110.27%
2-20.82%
Willem II
0-117.00%
0-24.48%
1-22.70%
0-30.79%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.10%
Groningen at AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord at Heerenveen