Go Ahead Eag at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

33.0%27.5%39.5%
Go Ahead Eag WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.30
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 2-0 vs RKC Waalwijk+105
L 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven+2000
L 2-0 vs NEC Nijmegen+140
T 0-0 at Utrecht+560
L 2-1 vs Twente+240
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
T 0-0 at NEC Nijmegen+190
T 1-1 vs Cambuur-120
W 2-4 vs Groningen+135
L 1-2 at Vitesse+430
L 1-0 vs Heerenveen+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+300+380+370+402+380+370+402+435.2
Heracles Almelo-110-135-125-123-128-125-123-121.8
Draw+240+255+255+256+244+255+256+278.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+355----+380+380+435.2
Heracles Almelo-125-----120-120-121.8
Draw+260----+235+235+278.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +408 to +402
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -115 to -126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 40.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +375 to +365
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2¼-122o2¼-126o2½+107-o2¼-126o2¼-122o2½+114
Underu2½-105u2¼+102u2¼+106u2½-122-u2¼+106u2½-122u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.88%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 033.66%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 027.19%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 310.01%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 060.40%
Exactly 130.45%
Exactly 27.68%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 054.71%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 29.95%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals12.06%
Wins by 3+ goals3.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals18.75%
Wins by 3+ goals6.61%
Wins by 4+ goals1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal18.91%
Wins by 2 goals8.49%
Wins by 3 goals2.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal22.62%
Wins by 2 goals12.15%
Wins by 3 goals4.75%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.97%31.03%
2.542.81%57.19%
3.521.95%78.05%
4.59.48%90.52%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.34%33.66%
1.529.69%70.31%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.81%27.19%
1.537.40%62.60%
2.514.35%85.65%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.36%69.64%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
9.15%
11.92%
7.76%
3.37%
1.10%
0.29%
1
9.96%
12.98%
8.45%
3.67%
1.19%
0.31%
2
5.43%
7.07%
4.60%
2.00%
0.65%
0.17%
3
1.97%
2.57%
1.67%
0.73%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.54%
0.70%
0.45%
0.20%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-09.96%
2-05.43%
2-17.07%
3-01.97%
3-12.57%
3-21.67%
4-00.54%
4-10.70%
4-20.45%
4-30.20%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-112.98%
2-24.60%
3-30.73%
Heracles Almelo
0-111.92%
0-27.76%
1-28.45%
0-33.37%
1-33.67%
2-32.00%
0-41.10%
1-41.19%
2-40.65%
3-40.24%
0-50.29%
1-50.31%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
33.05%
19.93%
6.01%
1.21%
0.18%
1
16.66%
10.05%
3.03%
0.61%
0.09%
2
4.20%
2.53%
0.76%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.71%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-016.66%
2-04.20%
2-12.53%
3-00.71%
3-10.43%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.05%
1-110.05%
2-20.76%
Heracles Almelo
0-119.93%
0-26.01%
1-23.03%
0-31.21%
1-30.61%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%
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