NEC Nijmegen at Groningen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

30.5%29.9%39.6%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawGroningen Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.13
3Final Score 4

Groningen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+520
L 1-4 at Vitesse+350
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+115
W 1-0 at Heerenveen+245
T 1-1 at Zwolle+300
Groningen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Feyenoord+1200
W 0-1 vs Willem II-135
T 1-1 at Zwolle+225
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-120
W 1-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+195+295+280+319-+280+319+328.3
Groningen+130-105-104-100--104-100+103.5
Draw+245+225+245+248-+245+248+263.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+295----+345+345+328.3
Groningen-105-----110-110+103.5
Draw+250----+230+230+263.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +310 to +280
Groningen ML moved from -101 to -113

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
NEC Nijmegen: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +360 to +345
Groningen ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½+105o2½-101o2½+100-o2½-101o2½+105o2½+114
Underu2¾-118u2½-125u2½-119u2½-130-u2½-119u2½-119u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-112 to o2½+101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.35%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 49.85%
Exactly 61.44%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.83%
Exactly 318.83%
Exactly 54.12%
Exactly 70.43%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.37%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.61%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 032.18%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.96%
Exactly 217.81%
Exactly 41.39%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 064.18%
Exactly 128.47%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 059.16%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 28.15%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals10.98%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals16.36%
Wins by 3+ goals5.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals8.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals11.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.65%12.35%
1.561.83%38.17%
2.534.82%65.18%
3.515.98%84.02%
4.56.13%93.87%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.63%38.37%
1.524.88%75.12%
2.57.27%92.73%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.82%32.18%
1.531.33%68.67%
2.510.65%89.35%
3.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.04%37.96%
1.525.27%74.73%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Score012345
0
12.35%
14.00%
7.94%
3.00%
0.85%
0.19%
1
11.83%
13.41%
7.60%
2.87%
0.81%
0.18%
2
5.67%
6.42%
3.64%
1.38%
0.39%
0.09%
3
1.81%
2.05%
1.16%
0.44%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.43%
0.49%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.83%
2-05.67%
2-16.42%
3-01.81%
3-12.05%
3-21.16%
4-00.43%
4-10.49%
4-20.28%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-012.35%
1-113.41%
2-23.64%
3-30.44%
Groningen
0-114.00%
0-27.94%
1-27.60%
0-33.00%
1-32.87%
2-31.38%
0-40.85%
1-40.81%
2-40.39%
3-40.12%
0-50.19%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Score01234
0
37.96%
19.93%
5.23%
0.92%
0.12%
1
16.84%
8.84%
2.32%
0.41%
0.05%
2
3.73%
1.96%
0.51%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.55%
0.29%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-016.84%
2-03.73%
2-11.96%
3-00.55%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-037.96%
1-18.84%
2-20.51%
Groningen
0-119.93%
0-25.23%
1-22.32%
0-30.92%
1-30.41%
0-40.12%