NEC Nijmegen at Heerenveen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

36.3%28.3%35.4%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawHeerenveen Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.14
1Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Zwolle+300
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+780
T 0-0 vs Heracles Almelo+150
W 1-0 at Willem II+175
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+210
Heerenveen
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fortuna Sittard+180
L 1-0 vs Zwolle+140
L 0-2 at Twente+300
L 3-0 vs Feyenoord+625
W 2-1 at Cambuur+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+175+235+235+242-+235+242+254.8
Heerenveen+140+115+121+119-+121+121+127.1
Draw+255+235+235+247-+235+247+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+210----+245+245+254.8
Heerenveen+125----+110+110+127.1
Draw+250----+250+250+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +250 to +235
Heerenveen ML moved from +120 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Heerenveen ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-105o2½+100o2½-105-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+104
Underu2¾-108u2½-115u2½-120u2½-110-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-110 to o2¾+100
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-109

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.97%
Exactly 226.50%
Exactly 411.74%
Exactly 62.08%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.98%
Exactly 320.37%
Exactly 55.42%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 031.13%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 032.01%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.38%
Exactly 219.60%
Exactly 41.86%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.97%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 058.26%
Exactly 131.48%
Exactly 28.50%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 059.01%
Exactly 131.13%
Exactly 28.21%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals15.23%
Wins by 3+ goals4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals14.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.42%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.27%
Wins by 2 goals10.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.64%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal20.77%
Wins by 2 goals9.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.03%9.97%
1.567.05%32.95%
2.540.56%59.44%
3.520.19%79.81%
4.58.45%91.55%
5.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.87%31.13%
1.532.54%67.46%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.99%32.01%
1.531.53%68.47%
2.510.76%89.24%
3.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.62%34.38%
1.528.91%71.09%
2.59.32%90.68%
3.52.34%97.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
9.97%
11.35%
6.47%
2.46%
0.70%
0.16%
1
11.63%
13.25%
7.55%
2.87%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.78%
7.73%
4.40%
1.67%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.64%
3.01%
1.71%
0.65%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.77%
0.88%
0.50%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.20%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.63%
2-06.78%
2-17.73%
3-02.64%
3-13.01%
3-21.71%
4-00.77%
4-10.88%
4-20.50%
4-30.19%
5-00.18%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.97%
1-113.25%
2-24.40%
3-30.65%
Heerenveen
0-111.35%
0-26.47%
1-27.55%
0-32.46%
1-32.87%
2-31.67%
0-40.70%
1-40.82%
2-40.48%
3-40.19%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
34.38%
18.13%
4.78%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.57%
9.80%
2.58%
0.45%
0.06%
2
5.02%
2.65%
0.70%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.90%
0.48%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-018.57%
2-05.02%
2-12.65%
3-00.90%
3-10.48%
3-20.13%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-034.38%
1-19.80%
2-20.70%
Heerenveen
0-118.13%
0-24.78%
1-22.58%
0-30.84%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
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