NEC Nijmegen at Vitesse

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

27.7%26.5%45.8%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawVitesse Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.43
1Final Score 4

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+115
W 1-0 at Heerenveen+245
T 1-1 at Zwolle+300
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+780
T 0-0 vs Heracles Almelo+150
Vitesse
Money Line
T 1-1 at Utrecht+355
L 5-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+425
L 0-3 at Twente+180
L 3-1 vs Groningen+100
W 1-0 at Feyenoord+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+220+330+325+365-+325+365+378.5
Vitesse+115-125-120-118--120-118-114.7
Draw+250+270+270+269-+270+270+289.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+330----+350+350+378.5
Vitesse-125-----135-135-114.7
Draw+280----+290+290+289.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +375 to +365
Vitesse ML moved from -120 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Vitesse ML moved from -125 to -135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2½-110o2½-109o2½-103-o2½-109o2½-103o2½+100
Underu2¾-110u2½-110u2½-111u2½-112-u2½-111u2½-110u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.33%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.24%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.71%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.58%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.93%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 023.86%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 311.70%
Exactly 44.19%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.65%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 061.44%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 27.29%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 051.50%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 211.34%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals10.37%
Wins by 3+ goals2.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals22.22%
Wins by 3+ goals8.47%
Wins by 4+ goals2.59%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal17.26%
Wins by 2 goals7.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal23.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.75%
Wins by 3 goals5.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.67%8.33%
1.570.96%29.04%
2.545.23%54.77%
3.523.92%76.08%
4.510.68%89.32%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.07%34.93%
1.528.33%71.67%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.14%23.86%
1.541.95%58.05%
2.517.46%82.54%
3.55.75%94.25%
4.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.35%31.65%
1.531.94%68.06%
2.511.00%89.00%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score012345
0
8.33%
11.94%
8.56%
4.09%
1.46%
0.42%
1
8.77%
12.56%
9.00%
4.30%
1.54%
0.44%
2
4.61%
6.61%
4.73%
2.26%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.62%
2.32%
1.66%
0.79%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.43%
0.61%
0.44%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
NEC Nijmegen
1-08.77%
2-04.61%
2-16.61%
3-01.62%
3-12.32%
3-21.66%
4-00.43%
4-10.61%
4-20.44%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-08.33%
1-112.56%
2-24.73%
3-30.79%
Vitesse
0-111.94%
0-28.56%
1-29.00%
0-34.09%
1-34.30%
2-32.26%
0-41.46%
1-41.54%
2-40.81%
3-40.28%
0-50.42%
1-50.44%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score01234
0
31.65%
21.00%
6.97%
1.54%
0.26%
1
15.41%
10.23%
3.39%
0.75%
0.12%
2
3.75%
2.49%
0.83%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.61%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-015.41%
2-03.75%
2-12.49%
3-00.61%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.65%
1-110.23%
2-20.83%
Vitesse
0-121.00%
0-26.97%
1-23.39%
0-31.54%
1-30.75%
2-30.18%
0-40.26%
1-40.12%