Twente at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Twente

37.3%27.6%35.1%
Twente WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.18
1Final Score 1

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-165
W 2-0 at NEC Nijmegen+105
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+310
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-180
W 1-0 at AZ Alkmaar+400
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+585
W 2-0 at Fortuna Sittard+185
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+195
T 0-0 vs Vitesse+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120+110+111+113+114+111+114+123.8
Heracles Almelo+225+260+255+274+248+255+274+272.3
Draw+230+220+240+246+227+240+246+251.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+120----+115+115+123.8
Heracles Almelo+240----+250+250+272.3
Draw+230----+235+235+251.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +113
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +245 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +120 to +110
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2¼-122o2¼-125o2½+105-o2¼-125o2¼-122o2½+119
Underu2½-102u2¼+102u2¼+105u2½-120-u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.02%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.59%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.70%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 030.73%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.83%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 056.70%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.91%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.64%
Exactly 31.57%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals16.04%
Wins by 3+ goals5.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals14.63%
Wins by 3+ goals4.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal21.23%
Wins by 2 goals10.69%
Wins by 3 goals3.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal20.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.91%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.98%9.02%
1.569.28%30.72%
2.543.18%56.82%
3.522.25%77.75%
4.59.66%90.34%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.27%30.73%
1.533.01%66.99%
2.511.62%88.38%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.17%32.83%
1.530.60%69.40%
2.510.24%89.76%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
9.02%
10.64%
6.28%
2.47%
0.73%
0.17%
1
11.06%
13.05%
7.70%
3.03%
0.89%
0.21%
2
6.78%
8.00%
4.72%
1.86%
0.55%
0.13%
3
2.77%
3.27%
1.93%
0.76%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.85%
1.00%
0.59%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.21%
0.25%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Twente
1-011.06%
2-06.78%
2-18.00%
3-02.77%
3-13.27%
3-21.93%
4-00.85%
4-11.00%
4-20.59%
4-30.23%
5-00.21%
5-10.25%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.02%
1-113.05%
2-24.72%
3-30.76%
Heracles Almelo
0-110.64%
0-26.28%
1-27.70%
0-32.47%
1-33.03%
2-31.86%
0-40.73%
1-40.89%
2-40.55%
3-40.22%
0-50.17%
1-50.21%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
32.83%
17.94%
4.90%
0.89%
0.12%
1
18.63%
10.18%
2.78%
0.51%
0.07%
2
5.29%
2.89%
0.79%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.00%
0.55%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-018.63%
2-05.29%
2-12.89%
3-01.00%
3-10.55%
3-20.15%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-032.83%
1-110.18%
2-20.79%
Heracles Almelo
0-117.94%
0-24.90%
1-22.78%
0-30.89%
1-30.51%
2-30.14%
0-40.12%
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