Zwolle at Ajax

Updated

Zwolle

2.4%6.3%91.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.65
0Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
W 2-0 at RKC Waalwijk+155
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+375
L 1-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+100
L 0-1 at Twente+500
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+550
Ajax
Money Line
W 1-0 at NEC Nijmegen-400
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-1100
W 3-1 at Groningen-450
W 2-3 vs Feyenoord-210
W 3-2 at Cambuur-750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-190.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+2000+1100+1200+1204+1094+1200+1204+1250.9
Ajax-1000-500+600-484-570+600+600-407.6
Draw+825+600+700+684+696+700+700+713.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+1745----+1400+1400+1250.9
Ajax-780-----650-650-407.6
Draw+810----+760+760+713.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Ajax: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1240 to +1202
Ajax ML moved from -530 to -565

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 30.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +1480 to +1400
Ajax ML moved from -775 to -830

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-118o3¾-102o3¾-103o3½-119-o3¾-103o3½-119o3½-114
Underu3½-102u3¾-118u3¾-117u3½+104-u3¾-117u3¾-117u3½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-114
Under-----u3½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-107 to u3½+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.52%
Exactly 213.32%
Exactly 419.45%
Exactly 611.36%
Exactly 83.56%
Exactly 100.69%
 
Exactly 16.37%
Exactly 318.59%
Exactly 516.29%
Exactly 76.80%
Exactly 91.65%
Exactly 110.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 058.42%
Exactly 131.40%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 02.60%
Exactly 19.50%
Exactly 217.32%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 419.22%
Exactly 514.02%
Exactly 68.53%
Exactly 74.45%
Exactly 82.03%
Exactly 90.82%
Exactly 100.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.40%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 48.46%
Exactly 61.06%
 
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 317.47%
Exactly 53.28%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 077.97%
Exactly 119.40%
Exactly 22.41%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 018.46%
Exactly 131.19%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.84%
Exactly 46.27%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals78.04%
Wins by 3+ goals59.45%
Wins by 4+ goals39.79%
Wins by 5+ goals23.37%
Wins by 6+ goals12.09%
Wins by 7+ goals5.52%
Wins by 8+ goals2.22%
Wins by 9+ goals0.75%
Wins by 10+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal1.92%
Wins by 2 goals0.40%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal13.08%
Wins by 2 goals18.59%
Wins by 3 goals19.67%
Wins by 4 goals16.42%
Wins by 5 goals11.28%
Wins by 6 goals6.56%
Wins by 7 goals3.31%
Wins by 8 goals1.47%
Wins by 9 goals0.57%
Wins by 10 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.48%1.52%
1.592.11%7.89%
2.578.79%21.21%
3.560.20%39.80%
4.540.75%59.25%
5.524.46%75.54%
6.513.09%86.91%
7.56.30%93.70%
8.52.74%97.26%
9.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.58%58.42%
1.510.18%89.82%
2.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.40%2.60%
1.587.90%12.10%
2.570.58%29.42%
3.549.51%50.49%
4.530.29%69.71%
5.516.26%83.74%
6.57.74%92.26%
7.53.29%96.71%
8.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.60%14.40%
1.557.70%42.30%
2.530.66%69.34%
3.513.19%86.81%
4.54.72%95.28%
5.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
1.52%
5.55%
10.12%
12.31%
11.23%
8.19%
1
0.82%
2.98%
5.44%
6.62%
6.03%
4.40%
2
0.22%
0.80%
1.46%
1.78%
1.62%
1.18%
Zwolle
1-00.82%
2-00.22%
2-10.80%
Draw
0-01.52%
1-12.98%
2-21.46%
3-30.32%
Ajax
0-15.55%
0-210.12%
1-25.44%
0-312.31%
1-36.62%
2-31.78%
0-411.23%
1-46.03%
2-41.62%
3-40.29%
0-58.19%
1-54.40%
2-51.18%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Ajax
Score01234567
0
14.40%
24.32%
20.54%
11.57%
4.89%
1.65%
0.46%
0.11%
1
3.58%
6.05%
5.11%
2.88%
1.22%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
2
0.45%
0.75%
0.64%
0.36%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-03.58%
2-00.45%
2-10.75%
Draw
0-014.40%
1-16.05%
2-20.64%
Ajax
0-124.32%
0-220.54%
1-25.11%
0-311.57%
1-32.88%
2-30.36%
0-44.89%
1-41.22%
2-40.15%
0-51.65%
1-50.41%
0-60.46%
1-60.12%
0-70.11%