Twente at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Twente

38.7%27.1%34.2%
Twente WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.29Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+310
W 0-1 vs Zwolle-180
W 1-0 at AZ Alkmaar+400
W 0-1 vs Cambuur-195
W 2-1 at RKC Waalwijk+120
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cambuur+175
T 0-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+160
L 3-4 at Groningen+345
L 3-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+520
L 1-4 at Vitesse+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+110+110+114+109-+114+114+116.2
NEC Nijmegen+245+240+235+271-+235+271+271.6
Draw+230+235+255+257-+255+257+272.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-110----+105+105+116.2
NEC Nijmegen+305----+250+250+271.6
Draw+255----+260+260+272.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +100 to -105
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +250 to +240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twente ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +270 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-118o2½-119o2½-119-o2½-119o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2½-102u2½-102u2½-101u2½+104-u2½-101u2½+104u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.37%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 413.20%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.76%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 56.55%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 027.60%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.71%
Exactly 220.91%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 055.10%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 29.79%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 057.55%
Exactly 131.80%
Exactly 28.79%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals17.20%
Wins by 3+ goals5.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.29%
Wins by 3+ goals4.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Twente
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals11.24%
Wins by 3 goals4.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal19.90%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.63%8.37%
1.570.87%29.13%
2.545.12%54.88%
3.523.83%76.17%
4.510.62%89.38%
5.54.07%95.93%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.40%27.60%
1.536.86%63.14%
2.514.00%86.00%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.50%66.50%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.29%31.71%
1.531.87%68.13%
2.510.95%89.05%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
8.37%
9.99%
5.96%
2.37%
0.71%
0.17%
1
10.77%
12.86%
7.67%
3.05%
0.91%
0.22%
2
6.93%
8.27%
4.94%
1.96%
0.59%
0.14%
3
2.97%
3.55%
2.12%
0.84%
0.25%
0.06%
4
0.96%
1.14%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.29%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Twente
1-010.77%
2-06.93%
2-18.27%
3-02.97%
3-13.55%
3-22.12%
4-00.96%
4-11.14%
4-20.68%
4-30.27%
5-00.25%
5-10.29%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.37%
1-112.86%
2-24.94%
3-30.84%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.99%
0-25.96%
1-27.67%
0-32.37%
1-33.05%
2-31.96%
0-40.71%
1-40.91%
2-40.59%
3-40.25%
0-50.17%
1-50.22%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
31.71%
17.52%
4.84%
0.89%
0.12%
1
18.90%
10.44%
2.88%
0.53%
0.07%
2
5.63%
3.11%
0.86%
0.16%
0.02%
3
1.12%
0.62%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Twente
1-018.90%
2-05.63%
2-13.11%
3-01.12%
3-10.62%
3-20.17%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-031.71%
1-110.44%
2-20.86%
NEC Nijmegen
0-117.52%
0-24.84%
1-22.88%
0-30.89%
1-30.53%
2-30.16%
0-40.12%
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