AZ Alkmaar at Willem II

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

62.2%20.6%17.3%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawWin
2.06Projected Goals 0.99
2Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Twente-130
W 3-1 at NEC Nijmegen-185
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord+170
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-185
Willem II
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard+215
T 0-0 vs Heerenveen+175
L 0-1 at Groningen+425
L 1-0 vs Ajax+2000
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+305

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-125-160-159-159--159-159-145.2
Willem II+310+425+470+483-+470+483+509.2
Draw+265+275+285+299-+285+299+310.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-165-----165-165-145.2
Willem II+470----+480+480+509.2
Draw+295----+290+290+310.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -165 to -175
Willem II ML moved from +480 to +470

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Willem II: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -155 to -165
Willem II ML moved from +455 to +435

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-102o2½+101o2½+101-o2½+101o2½+101o2½+109
Underu2¾-118u2½-118u2½-121u2½-116-u2½-121u2½-116u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%
 
No45.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.75%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 417.06%
Exactly 65.28%
Exactly 80.88%
 
Exactly 114.48%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.40%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 012.74%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.57%
Exactly 49.57%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 037.30%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.40%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 038.52%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 063.34%
Exactly 128.92%
Exactly 26.60%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals38.39%
Wins by 3+ goals19.48%
Wins by 4+ goals8.23%
Wins by 5+ goals2.94%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals5.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.74%
Wins by 2 goals18.91%
Wins by 3 goals11.25%
Wins by 4 goals5.29%
Wins by 5 goals2.05%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal11.36%
Wins by 2 goals4.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.25%4.75%
1.580.77%19.23%
2.558.72%41.28%
3.536.33%63.67%
4.519.27%80.73%
5.58.87%91.13%
6.53.59%96.41%
7.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.26%12.74%
1.561.01%38.99%
2.533.97%66.03%
3.515.40%84.60%
4.55.83%94.17%
5.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.70%37.30%
1.525.92%74.08%
2.57.78%92.22%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.60%24.40%
1.541.18%58.82%
2.516.91%83.09%
3.55.49%94.51%
4.51.47%98.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Score01234
0
4.75%
4.69%
2.31%
0.76%
0.19%
1
9.79%
9.65%
4.76%
1.57%
0.39%
2
10.09%
9.95%
4.91%
1.61%
0.40%
3
6.93%
6.83%
3.37%
1.11%
0.27%
4
3.57%
3.52%
1.74%
0.57%
0.14%
5
1.47%
1.45%
0.72%
0.24%
0.06%
AZ Alkmaar
1-09.79%
2-010.09%
2-19.95%
3-06.93%
3-16.83%
3-23.37%
4-03.57%
4-13.52%
4-21.74%
4-30.57%
5-01.47%
5-11.45%
5-20.72%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.75%
1-19.65%
2-24.91%
3-31.11%
4-40.14%
Willem II
0-14.69%
0-22.31%
1-24.76%
0-30.76%
1-31.57%
2-31.61%
0-40.19%
1-40.39%
2-40.40%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Willem II
Score0123
0
24.40%
11.14%
2.54%
0.39%
1
23.28%
10.63%
2.43%
0.37%
2
11.10%
5.07%
1.16%
0.18%
3
3.53%
1.61%
0.37%
0.06%
4
0.84%
0.38%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-023.28%
2-011.10%
2-15.07%
3-03.53%
3-11.61%
3-20.37%
4-00.84%
4-10.38%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-024.40%
1-110.63%
2-21.16%
Willem II
0-111.14%
0-22.54%
1-22.43%
0-30.39%
1-30.37%
2-30.18%