Ajax at Twente

Updated

Ajax

61.1%21.2%17.6%
Ajax WinDrawWin
1.99Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 3

Twente

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-850
Twente
Money Line
W 5-0 at RKC Waalwijk-125
W 0-4 vs NEC Nijmegen-220
W 3-0 at Emmen-135
T 3-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam-210
L 0-1 at Utrecht+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-114+109+110+104+114+104+114+114.1
Twente+280+220+210+220+223+220+223+235.9
Draw+309+303+280+305+299+305+305+325.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-130----+105+105+114.1
Twente+300----+220+220+235.9
Draw+325----+300+300+325.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +100 to -105
Twente ML moved from +225 to +215

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -130 to -140
Twente ML moved from +285 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3½-107o3½-108o3½-105o3½+103o3½-105o3½+103o3½+104
Underu3½-116u3½-111u3½-112u3½-115u3½-118u3½-115u3½-111u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+104
Under-----u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-108 to u3+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 416.50%
Exactly 64.78%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.46%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.73%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.74%
Exactly 127.27%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.91%
Exactly 48.89%
Exactly 53.53%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.54%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.89%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.85%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 064.03%
Exactly 128.54%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals36.95%
Wins by 3+ goals18.24%
Wins by 4+ goals7.44%
Wins by 5+ goals2.53%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals5.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Twente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal24.09%
Wins by 2 goals18.71%
Wins by 3 goals10.80%
Wins by 4 goals4.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.83%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal11.68%
Wins by 2 goals4.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.29%20.71%
2.556.50%43.50%
3.534.10%65.90%
4.517.60%82.40%
5.57.87%92.13%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.26%13.74%
1.558.99%41.01%
2.531.92%68.08%
3.514.02%85.98%
4.55.13%94.87%
5.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.05%74.95%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.46%25.54%
1.539.59%60.41%
2.515.81%84.19%
3.54.98%95.02%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Twente
Score01234
0
5.25%
5.05%
2.43%
0.78%
0.19%
1
10.41%
10.03%
4.83%
1.55%
0.37%
2
10.33%
9.95%
4.79%
1.54%
0.37%
3
6.84%
6.58%
3.17%
1.02%
0.24%
4
3.39%
3.27%
1.57%
0.50%
0.12%
5
1.35%
1.30%
0.62%
0.20%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.41%
2-010.33%
2-19.95%
3-06.84%
3-16.58%
3-23.17%
4-03.39%
4-13.27%
4-21.57%
4-30.50%
5-01.35%
5-11.30%
5-20.62%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.25%
1-110.03%
2-24.79%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Twente
0-15.05%
0-22.43%
1-24.83%
0-30.78%
1-31.55%
2-31.54%
0-40.19%
1-40.37%
2-40.37%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Twente
Score0123
0
25.54%
11.39%
2.54%
0.38%
1
23.48%
10.46%
2.33%
0.35%
2
10.79%
4.81%
1.07%
0.16%
3
3.30%
1.47%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.76%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-023.48%
2-010.79%
2-14.81%
3-03.30%
3-11.47%
3-20.33%
4-00.76%
4-10.34%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-025.54%
1-110.46%
2-21.07%
Twente
0-111.39%
0-22.54%
1-22.33%
0-30.38%
1-30.35%
2-30.16%