Utrecht at Ajax

Updated

Utrecht

4.4%9.5%86.1%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.63Projected Goals 3.17
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk-165
W 3-0 at Cambuur-130
L 1-3 at Feyenoord+745
W 0-1 vs Twente+220
W 2-1 at Groningen+130
Ajax
Money Line
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-850
T 0-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+763+790+800+810+848+810+848+854.4
Ajax-295-317-375-360-341-360-317-294.1
Draw+463+498+500+540+536+540+540+571.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+900----+735+735+854.4
Ajax-405-----340-340-294.1
Draw+575----+535+535+571.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +814 to +790
Ajax ML moved from -331 to -341

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +775 to +735
Ajax ML moved from -385 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-101o3½-103o3½-102o3¼-122o3½+105o3¼-122o3¼-122o3¼-111
Underu3½-117u3½-113u3½-118u3¼+102u3½-120u3¼+102u3½-113u3¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-111
Under-----u3¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-108 to u3¼+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.24%
Exactly 216.15%
Exactly 419.44%
Exactly 69.36%
Exactly 82.41%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.50%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 514.77%
Exactly 75.08%
Exactly 91.02%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 053.21%
Exactly 133.57%
Exactly 210.59%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 04.20%
Exactly 113.32%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 417.67%
Exactly 511.20%
Exactly 65.92%
Exactly 72.68%
Exactly 81.06%
Exactly 90.37%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.21%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 60.71%
 
Exactly 130.29%
Exactly 315.63%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 074.67%
Exactly 121.81%
Exactly 23.19%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 023.05%
Exactly 133.83%
Exactly 224.82%
Exactly 312.14%
Exactly 44.45%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals69.09%
Wins by 3+ goals48.23%
Wins by 4+ goals29.11%
Wins by 5+ goals15.25%
Wins by 6+ goals7.00%
Wins by 7+ goals2.83%
Wins by 8+ goals1.00%
Wins by 9+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal3.37%
Wins by 2 goals0.82%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal16.97%
Wins by 2 goals20.86%
Wins by 3 goals19.13%
Wins by 4 goals13.85%
Wins by 5 goals8.26%
Wins by 6 goals4.17%
Wins by 7 goals1.82%
Wins by 8 goals0.70%
Wins by 9 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.76%2.24%
1.589.27%10.73%
2.573.12%26.88%
3.552.66%47.34%
4.533.22%66.78%
5.518.45%81.55%
6.59.09%90.91%
7.54.01%95.99%
8.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.79%53.21%
1.513.22%86.78%
2.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.80%4.20%
1.582.48%17.52%
2.561.37%38.63%
3.539.07%60.93%
4.521.40%78.60%
5.510.20%89.80%
6.54.28%95.72%
7.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.79%17.21%
1.552.50%47.50%
2.525.86%74.14%
3.510.23%89.77%
4.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.24%
7.09%
11.23%
11.87%
9.40%
5.96%
1
1.41%
4.47%
7.09%
7.49%
5.93%
3.76%
2
0.44%
1.41%
2.24%
2.36%
1.87%
1.19%
Utrecht
1-01.41%
2-00.44%
2-11.41%
Draw
0-02.24%
1-14.47%
2-22.24%
3-30.50%
Ajax
0-17.09%
0-211.23%
1-27.09%
0-311.87%
1-37.49%
2-32.36%
0-49.40%
1-45.93%
2-41.87%
3-40.39%
0-55.96%
1-53.76%
2-51.19%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.21%
25.26%
18.53%
9.07%
3.33%
0.98%
0.24%
1
5.03%
7.38%
5.41%
2.65%
0.97%
0.29%
0.07%
2
0.73%
1.08%
0.79%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-05.03%
2-00.73%
2-11.08%
Draw
0-017.21%
1-17.38%
2-20.79%
Ajax
0-125.26%
0-218.53%
1-25.41%
0-39.07%
1-32.65%
2-30.39%
0-43.33%
1-40.97%
2-40.14%
0-50.98%
1-50.29%
0-60.24%
Fortuna Sittard at PSV Eindhoven
Cambuur at Sparta R'dam