AZ Alkmaar at Ajax

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

9.6%15.4%75.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.53
0Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-265
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard-140
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam-175
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen-180
L 1-2 at Twente+240
Ajax
Money Line
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-850
T 0-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-260
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+502+359+360+352+370+352+370+374.9
Ajax-197-137-145-143-145-143-137-127.3
Draw+376+310+290+315+326+315+326+336.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+455----+380+380+374.9
Ajax-185-----155-155-127.3
Draw+355----+325+325+336.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +376 to +370
Ajax ML moved from -154 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +425 to +380
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-126o3-106o3-105o3-108o3+102o3-108o3+102o3+102
Underu3+108u3-112u3-115u3-112u3-117u3-112u3-112u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.60%
Exactly 219.90%
Exactly 418.31%
Exactly 66.74%
Exactly 81.33%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 111.97%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 512.17%
Exactly 73.20%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 045.20%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.25%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 120.16%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 413.59%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.46%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 45.01%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 133.03%
Exactly 313.03%
Exactly 51.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 069.23%
Exactly 125.46%
Exactly 24.68%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 031.00%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals2.69%
Wins by 3+ goals0.58%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals53.01%
Wins by 3+ goals31.55%
Wins by 4+ goals15.85%
Wins by 5+ goals6.79%
Wins by 6+ goals2.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.74%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal6.87%
Wins by 2 goals2.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.48%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.90%
Wins by 2 goals21.46%
Wins by 3 goals15.69%
Wins by 4 goals9.07%
Wins by 5 goals4.31%
Wins by 6 goals1.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.59%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.40%3.60%
1.584.42%15.58%
2.564.53%35.47%
3.542.49%57.51%
4.524.17%75.83%
5.512.00%88.00%
6.55.25%94.75%
7.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.80%45.20%
1.518.91%81.09%
2.54.66%95.34%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.87%28.13%
2.546.37%53.63%
3.524.87%75.13%
4.511.28%88.72%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.54%21.46%
1.545.51%54.49%
2.520.10%79.90%
3.57.06%92.94%
4.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.60%
9.11%
11.52%
9.72%
6.14%
3.11%
1
2.86%
7.24%
9.15%
7.72%
4.88%
2.47%
2
1.14%
2.87%
3.63%
3.06%
1.94%
0.98%
3
0.30%
0.76%
0.96%
0.81%
0.51%
0.26%
AZ Alkmaar
1-02.86%
2-01.14%
2-12.87%
3-00.30%
3-10.76%
3-20.96%
Draw
0-03.60%
1-17.24%
2-23.63%
3-30.81%
4-40.10%
Ajax
0-19.11%
0-211.52%
1-29.15%
0-39.72%
1-37.72%
2-33.06%
0-46.14%
1-44.88%
2-41.94%
3-40.51%
0-53.11%
1-52.47%
2-50.98%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
21.46%
25.14%
14.72%
5.75%
1.68%
0.39%
1
7.89%
9.24%
5.41%
2.11%
0.62%
0.14%
2
1.45%
1.70%
0.99%
0.39%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.18%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-07.89%
2-01.45%
2-11.70%
3-00.18%
3-10.21%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-021.46%
1-19.24%
2-20.99%
Ajax
0-125.14%
0-214.72%
1-25.41%
0-35.75%
1-32.11%
2-30.39%
0-41.68%
1-40.62%
2-40.11%
0-50.39%
1-50.14%