Ajax at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Ajax

40.8%25.7%33.5%
Ajax WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
1.44Projected Goals 1.27
0Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-850
T 0-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-260
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord-140
W 4-2 at Heerenveen-270
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 3-2 at Volendam-385
W 0-4 vs Excelsior-1100
W 4-2 at NEC Nijmegen-150
T 1-1 at Vitesse-190
W 2-5 vs Cambuur-800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+181+227+220+235+230+235+235+251.7
PSV Eindhoven+133+113+110+104+115+104+115+114.2
Draw+293+278+270+283+289+283+289+302.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+175----+230+230+251.7
PSV Eindhoven+140----+105+105+114.2
Draw+270----+285+285+302.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +241 to +230
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +115 to +108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 40.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +140 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+118o3-111o3-115o3-105o3-106o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3½-140u3-107u3-105u3-115u3-109u3-115u3-105u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.68%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 414.92%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.08%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.07%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 027.97%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.57%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 051.54%
Exactly 134.16%
Exactly 211.32%
Exactly 32.50%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 055.44%
Exactly 132.70%
Exactly 29.64%
Exactly 31.90%
Exactly 40.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals19.32%
Wins by 3+ goals7.24%
Wins by 4+ goals2.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals14.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals1.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.39%
Wins by 2 goals12.09%
Wins by 3 goals5.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal19.03%
Wins by 2 goals9.57%
Wins by 3 goals3.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.32%6.68%
1.575.23%24.77%
2.550.77%49.23%
3.528.71%71.29%
4.513.79%86.21%
5.55.72%94.28%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.91%58.09%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.03%27.97%
1.536.39%63.61%
2.513.69%86.31%
3.54.05%95.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.43%28.57%
1.535.63%64.37%
2.513.21%86.79%
3.53.85%96.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
6.68%
8.51%
5.42%
2.30%
0.73%
0.19%
1
9.57%
12.19%
7.76%
3.30%
1.05%
0.27%
2
6.85%
8.73%
5.56%
2.36%
0.75%
0.19%
3
3.27%
4.16%
2.65%
1.13%
0.36%
0.09%
4
1.17%
1.49%
0.95%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.33%
0.43%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajax
1-09.57%
2-06.85%
2-18.73%
3-03.27%
3-14.16%
3-22.65%
4-01.17%
4-11.49%
4-20.95%
4-30.40%
5-00.33%
5-10.43%
5-20.27%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.68%
1-112.19%
2-25.56%
3-31.13%
4-40.13%
PSV Eindhoven
0-18.51%
0-25.42%
1-27.76%
0-32.30%
1-33.30%
2-32.36%
0-40.73%
1-41.05%
2-40.75%
3-40.36%
0-50.19%
1-50.27%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234
0
28.57%
16.85%
4.97%
0.98%
0.14%
1
18.94%
11.17%
3.29%
0.65%
0.10%
2
6.28%
3.70%
1.09%
0.21%
0.03%
3
1.39%
0.82%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.23%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-018.94%
2-06.28%
2-13.70%
3-01.39%
3-10.82%
3-20.24%
4-00.23%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-028.57%
1-111.17%
2-21.09%
PSV Eindhoven
0-116.85%
0-24.97%
1-23.29%
0-30.98%
1-30.65%
2-30.21%
0-40.14%