NEC Nijmegen at Twente

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

11.9%18.4%69.7%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.20
0Final Score 4

Twente

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Heerenveen+110
L 4-1 vs Vitesse+120
T 0-0 at Emmen+150
L 4-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+385
W 3-1 at RKC Waalwijk+155
Twente
Money Line
W 3-0 at Emmen-135
T 3-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam-210
L 0-1 at Utrecht+120
W 0-4 vs Cambuur-500
T 0-0 at Excelsior-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+373+555+525+560+612+560+612+593.0
Twente-141-216-235-225-227-225-216-193.5
Draw+310+390+380+385+425+385+425+409.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+525----+540+540+593.0
Twente-205-----220-220-193.5
Draw+355----+380+380+409.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +623 to +612
Twente ML moved from -226 to -232

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +540 to +525
Twente ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-139o3-134o3¼+102o3¼-101o3-129o3¼-101o3-129o3¼+108
Underu2½+117u3+114u3¼-122u3¼-119u3+114u3¼-119u3+114u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.14%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.94%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 045.74%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 213.99%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 011.11%
Exactly 124.41%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 319.64%
Exactly 410.79%
Exactly 54.74%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.17%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 069.62%
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 24.57%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 036.16%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals3.39%
Wins by 3+ goals0.73%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals45.72%
Wins by 3+ goals24.72%
Wins by 4+ goals11.15%
Wins by 5+ goals4.25%
Wins by 6+ goals1.38%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal8.52%
Wins by 2 goals2.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals20.99%
Wins by 3 goals13.58%
Wins by 4 goals6.90%
Wins by 5 goals2.87%
Wins by 6 goals1.01%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.77%20.23%
2.557.22%42.78%
3.534.81%65.19%
4.518.13%81.87%
5.58.18%91.82%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.26%45.74%
1.518.48%81.52%
2.54.49%95.51%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.89%11.11%
1.564.47%35.53%
2.537.65%62.35%
3.518.01%81.99%
4.57.22%92.78%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.83%25.17%
1.540.10%59.90%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
5.08%
11.17%
12.27%
8.98%
4.94%
2.17%
1
3.98%
8.74%
9.60%
7.03%
3.86%
1.70%
2
1.55%
3.42%
3.75%
2.75%
1.51%
0.66%
3
0.41%
0.89%
0.98%
0.72%
0.39%
0.17%
NEC Nijmegen
1-03.98%
2-01.55%
2-13.42%
3-00.41%
3-10.89%
3-20.98%
Draw
0-05.08%
1-18.74%
2-23.75%
3-30.72%
Twente
0-111.17%
0-212.27%
1-29.60%
0-38.98%
1-37.03%
2-32.75%
0-44.94%
1-43.86%
2-41.51%
3-40.39%
0-52.17%
1-51.70%
2-50.66%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
25.17%
25.61%
13.02%
4.42%
1.12%
0.23%
1
9.12%
9.27%
4.72%
1.60%
0.41%
0.08%
2
1.65%
1.68%
0.85%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-09.12%
2-01.65%
2-11.68%
3-00.20%
3-10.20%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-025.17%
1-19.27%
2-20.85%
Twente
0-125.61%
0-213.02%
1-24.72%
0-34.42%
1-31.60%
2-30.29%
0-41.12%
1-40.41%
0-50.23%