Heerenveen at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Heerenveen

30.5%27.8%41.7%
Heerenveen WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.29
3Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Emmen-145
L 0-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+210
W 1-2 vs Volendam-180
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+480
W 2-0 at Groningen+170
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Vitesse+120
T 0-0 at Emmen+150
L 4-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+385
W 3-1 at RKC Waalwijk+155
T 2-2 vs Utrecht+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+248+234+230+235+247+235+247+251.6
NEC Nijmegen+109+115+115+113+115+113+115+123.6
Draw+264+263+245+255+256+255+263+272.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+235----+235+235+251.6
NEC Nijmegen+110----+110+110+123.6
Draw+260----+260+260+272.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +241 to +235
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heerenveen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML
No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-131o2¾-105o2¾-102o2½-129o2¾-102o2½-129o2¾+107
Underu2½+115u2½+111u2¾-115u2¾-118u2½+114u2¾-118u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.57%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.09%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.45%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.68%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 034.66%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 027.60%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 39.81%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.74%
Exactly 219.92%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 061.23%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 055.10%
Exactly 132.84%
Exactly 29.79%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals11.64%
Wins by 3+ goals3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals18.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.56%
Wins by 4+ goals1.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal18.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.86%
Wins by 2 goals12.20%
Wins by 3 goals4.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.43%9.57%
1.567.98%32.02%
2.541.63%58.37%
3.521.02%78.98%
4.58.93%91.07%
5.53.26%96.74%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.34%34.66%
1.528.61%71.39%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.40%27.60%
1.536.87%63.13%
2.514.00%86.00%
3.54.18%95.82%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.26%33.74%
1.529.60%70.40%
2.59.69%90.31%
3.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
9.57%
12.32%
7.93%
3.40%
1.09%
0.28%
1
10.14%
13.05%
8.40%
3.60%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.37%
6.91%
4.45%
1.91%
0.61%
0.16%
3
1.90%
2.44%
1.57%
0.67%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.50%
0.65%
0.42%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-010.14%
2-05.37%
2-16.91%
3-01.90%
3-12.44%
3-21.57%
4-00.50%
4-10.65%
4-20.42%
4-30.18%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.57%
1-113.05%
2-24.45%
3-30.67%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.32%
0-27.93%
1-28.40%
0-33.40%
1-33.60%
2-31.91%
0-41.09%
1-41.16%
2-40.61%
3-40.22%
0-50.28%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
33.74%
20.11%
5.99%
1.19%
0.18%
1
16.55%
9.86%
2.94%
0.58%
0.09%
2
4.06%
2.42%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.40%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-016.55%
2-04.06%
2-12.42%
3-00.66%
3-10.40%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.74%
1-19.86%
2-20.72%
NEC Nijmegen
0-120.11%
0-25.99%
1-22.94%
0-31.19%
1-30.58%
2-30.14%
0-40.18%
PSV Eindhoven at Sparta R'dam
Utrecht at Cambuur