AZ Alkmaar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

54.9%23.8%21.2%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.72Projected Goals 0.97
3Final Score 0

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Emmen-300
T 0-0 at Ajax+380
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-265
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard-140
L 1-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam-175
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-4 at Twente+540
L 3-2 vs Heerenveen+110
L 4-1 vs Vitesse+120
T 0-0 at Emmen+150
L 4-2 vs PSV Eindhoven+385

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-143-132-135-135-136-135-132-120.4
NEC Nijmegen+383+346+340+340+352+340+352+362.8
Draw+310+306+275+300+324+300+324+320.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-125-----135-135-120.4
NEC Nijmegen+310----+340+340+362.8
Draw+300----+300+300+320.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -130 to -138
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +360 to +352

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -120 to -130
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +295 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-106o3-108o2¾-124o3-102o2¾-124o2¾-124o2¾-113
Underu3-104u3-110u3-112u2¾+104u3-113u2¾+104u3-110u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-113
Under-----u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.80%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 414.80%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.28%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 017.95%
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 315.16%
Exactly 46.51%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 045.15%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.80%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals30.36%
Wins by 3+ goals13.45%
Wins by 4+ goals4.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.47%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals8.57%
Wins by 4 goals3.41%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal13.86%
Wins by 2 goals5.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.20%6.80%
1.574.92%25.08%
2.550.35%49.65%
3.528.33%71.67%
4.513.53%86.47%
5.55.58%94.42%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.05%17.95%
1.551.22%48.78%
2.524.74%75.26%
3.59.58%90.42%
4.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.12%37.88%
1.525.34%74.66%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.34%64.66%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
6.80%
6.60%
3.20%
1.04%
0.25%
1
11.68%
11.34%
5.50%
1.78%
0.43%
2
10.03%
9.74%
4.72%
1.53%
0.37%
3
5.74%
5.57%
2.70%
0.88%
0.21%
4
2.47%
2.39%
1.16%
0.38%
0.09%
5
0.85%
0.82%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.68%
2-010.03%
2-19.74%
3-05.74%
3-15.57%
3-22.70%
4-02.47%
4-12.39%
4-21.16%
4-30.38%
5-00.85%
5-10.82%
5-20.40%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.80%
1-111.34%
2-24.72%
3-30.88%
NEC Nijmegen
0-16.60%
0-23.20%
1-25.50%
0-31.04%
1-31.78%
2-31.53%
0-40.25%
1-40.43%
2-40.37%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
28.81%
12.95%
2.91%
0.44%
1
22.91%
10.29%
2.31%
0.35%
2
9.11%
4.09%
0.92%
0.14%
3
2.41%
1.08%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
AZ Alkmaar
1-022.91%
2-09.11%
2-14.09%
3-02.41%
3-11.08%
3-20.24%
4-00.48%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-028.81%
1-110.29%
2-20.92%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.95%
0-22.91%
1-22.31%
0-30.44%
1-30.35%
2-30.14%
Fortuna Sittard at PSV Eindhoven
Cambuur at Sparta R'dam