Excelsior at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Excelsior

13.8%20.3%65.9%
WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 3

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+180
T 2-2 vs Ajax+875
W 4-3 at NEC Nijmegen+475
L 2-3 at Volendam+335
W 0-3 vs Fortuna Sittard-110
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs NEC Nijmegen+145
L 1-4 at Ajax+900
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+301+328+320+350+350+350+350+373.0
Heracles Almelo-116-124-125-135-135-135-124-120.5
Draw+295+296+275+293+293+293+296+313.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+295----+345+345+373.0
Heracles Almelo-120-----130-130-120.5
Draw+295----+285+285+313.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +338 to +328
Heracles Almelo ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3-108o3-108o3-104o3-104o3-104o3-104o3+105
Underu3-117u3-108u3-112u3-116u3-116u3-116u3-108u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+105
Under-----u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.99%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 415.68%
Exactly 64.14%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.85%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.83%
Exactly 71.67%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 045.06%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.32%
Exactly 33.81%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 013.28%
Exactly 126.81%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.21%
Exactly 49.19%
Exactly 53.71%
Exactly 61.25%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.15%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 310.03%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 069.13%
Exactly 125.52%
Exactly 24.71%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 039.27%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.15%
Exactly 35.34%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals4.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals40.98%
Wins by 3+ goals20.78%
Wins by 4+ goals8.69%
Wins by 5+ goals3.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.85%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal9.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.15%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal24.79%
Wins by 2 goals20.20%
Wins by 3 goals12.09%
Wins by 4 goals5.67%
Wins by 5 goals2.17%
Wins by 6 goals0.69%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.01%5.99%
1.577.16%22.84%
2.553.43%46.57%
3.531.16%68.84%
4.515.48%84.52%
5.56.65%93.35%
6.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.94%45.06%
1.519.02%80.98%
2.54.70%95.30%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.72%13.28%
1.559.90%40.10%
2.532.84%67.16%
3.514.63%85.37%
4.55.44%94.56%
5.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.85%27.15%
1.537.45%62.55%
2.514.38%85.62%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
5.99%
12.08%
12.19%
8.21%
4.14%
1.67%
1
4.77%
9.63%
9.72%
6.54%
3.30%
1.33%
2
1.90%
3.84%
3.88%
2.61%
1.32%
0.53%
3
0.51%
1.02%
1.03%
0.69%
0.35%
0.14%
4
0.10%
0.20%
0.21%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
Excelsior
1-04.77%
2-01.90%
2-13.84%
3-00.51%
3-11.02%
3-21.03%
4-00.10%
4-10.20%
4-20.21%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-05.99%
1-19.63%
2-23.88%
3-30.69%
Heracles Almelo
0-112.08%
0-212.19%
1-29.72%
0-38.21%
1-36.54%
2-32.61%
0-44.14%
1-43.30%
2-41.32%
3-40.35%
0-51.67%
1-51.33%
2-50.53%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
27.15%
25.38%
11.86%
3.69%
0.86%
0.16%
1
10.02%
9.37%
4.38%
1.36%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.85%
1.73%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.23%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-010.02%
2-01.85%
2-11.73%
3-00.23%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-027.15%
1-19.37%
2-20.81%
Heracles Almelo
0-125.38%
0-211.86%
1-24.38%
0-33.69%
1-31.36%
2-30.25%
0-40.86%
1-40.32%
0-50.16%