Heracles Almelo at Ajax

Updated

Heracles Almelo

3.2%8.0%88.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.32
1Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Twente+105
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1400+928+800+945+1018+945+1018+995.2
Ajax-625-375-385-425-434-425-375-339.4
Draw+675+552+500+600+615+600+615+633.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1300----+900+900+995.2
Ajax-585-----475-475-339.4
Draw+700----+685+685+633.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +825 to +800
Ajax ML moved from -418 to -434

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Heracles Almelo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1000 to +900
Ajax ML moved from -585 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-111o3½-110o3½-117o3½-108o3½-117o3½-108o3½-106
Underu3½-115u3½-105u3½-110u3½-103u3½-108u3½-103u3½-103u3½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-106
Under-----u3½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.07%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 419.50%
Exactly 69.76%
Exactly 82.62%
Exactly 100.44%
 
Exactly 18.04%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 515.12%
Exactly 75.41%
Exactly 91.13%
Exactly 110.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.48%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 28.81%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.61%
Exactly 111.98%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 418.31%
Exactly 512.17%
Exactly 66.74%
Exactly 73.20%
Exactly 81.33%
Exactly 90.49%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.62%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 47.18%
Exactly 60.77%
 
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 316.01%
Exactly 52.58%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 077.38%
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 22.54%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.48%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 313.03%
Exactly 45.01%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals0.65%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.14%
Wins by 3+ goals52.86%
Wins by 4+ goals33.17%
Wins by 5+ goals18.12%
Wins by 6+ goals8.68%
Wins by 7+ goals3.67%
Wins by 8+ goals1.36%
Wins by 9+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal2.58%
Wins by 2 goals0.56%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals20.29%
Wins by 3 goals19.69%
Wins by 4 goals15.05%
Wins by 5 goals9.44%
Wins by 6 goals5.01%
Wins by 7 goals2.31%
Wins by 8 goals0.93%
Wins by 9 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.93%2.07%
1.589.89%10.11%
2.574.32%25.68%
3.554.19%45.81%
4.534.70%65.30%
5.519.58%80.42%
6.59.82%90.18%
7.54.41%95.59%
8.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.52%57.48%
1.510.69%89.31%
2.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.39%3.61%
1.584.41%15.59%
2.564.50%35.50%
3.542.46%57.54%
4.524.15%75.85%
5.511.98%88.02%
6.55.25%94.75%
7.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.38%16.62%
1.553.56%46.44%
2.526.79%73.21%
3.510.78%89.22%
4.53.60%96.40%
5.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.07%
6.89%
11.44%
12.67%
10.52%
6.99%
1
1.15%
3.81%
6.34%
7.02%
5.83%
3.87%
2
0.32%
1.06%
1.75%
1.94%
1.61%
1.07%
Heracles Almelo
1-01.15%
2-00.32%
2-11.06%
Draw
0-02.07%
1-13.81%
2-21.75%
3-30.36%
Ajax
0-16.89%
0-211.44%
1-26.34%
0-312.67%
1-37.02%
2-31.94%
0-410.52%
1-45.83%
2-41.61%
3-40.30%
0-56.99%
1-53.87%
2-51.07%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score0123456
0
16.62%
25.56%
19.66%
10.08%
3.88%
1.19%
0.31%
1
4.26%
6.55%
5.04%
2.58%
0.99%
0.31%
0.08%
2
0.55%
0.84%
0.65%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-04.26%
2-00.55%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-016.62%
1-16.55%
2-20.65%
Ajax
0-125.56%
0-219.66%
1-25.04%
0-310.08%
1-32.58%
2-30.33%
0-43.88%
1-40.99%
2-40.13%
0-51.19%
1-50.31%
0-60.31%
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