Heracles Almelo at Ajax

Updated

Heracles Almelo

3.2%8.0%88.7%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.32
1Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250
T 1-1 vs Twente+250
W 1-0 at Groningen+340
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Twente+105
W 1-3 vs Utrecht-340
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar-155
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven+230
W 1-3 vs Emmen-950

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1400+928+800+945+1018+945+1018+995.2
Ajax-625-375-385-425-434-425-375-339.4
Draw+675+552+500+600+615+600+615+633.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heracles Almelo+1300----+900+900+995.2
Ajax-585-----475-475-339.4
Draw+700----+685+685+633.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +825 to +800
Ajax ML moved from -418 to -434

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heracles Almelo: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heracles Almelo ML moved from +1000 to +900
Ajax ML moved from -585 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-111o3½-110o3½-117o3½-108o3½-117o3½-108o3½-106
Underu3½-115u3½-105u3½-110u3½-103u3½-108u3½-103u3½-103u3½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-106
Under-----u3½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.07%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 419.50%
Exactly 69.76%
Exactly 82.62%
Exactly 100.44%
 
Exactly 18.04%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 515.12%
Exactly 75.41%
Exactly 91.13%
Exactly 110.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 057.48%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 28.81%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.61%
Exactly 111.98%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 418.31%
Exactly 512.17%
Exactly 66.74%
Exactly 73.20%
Exactly 81.33%
Exactly 90.49%
Exactly 100.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.62%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 47.18%
Exactly 60.77%
 
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 316.01%
Exactly 52.58%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 077.38%
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 22.54%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.48%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 313.03%
Exactly 45.01%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals0.65%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.14%
Wins by 3+ goals52.86%
Wins by 4+ goals33.17%
Wins by 5+ goals18.12%
Wins by 6+ goals8.68%
Wins by 7+ goals3.67%
Wins by 8+ goals1.36%
Wins by 9+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal2.58%
Wins by 2 goals0.56%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals20.29%
Wins by 3 goals19.69%
Wins by 4 goals15.05%
Wins by 5 goals9.44%
Wins by 6 goals5.01%
Wins by 7 goals2.31%
Wins by 8 goals0.93%
Wins by 9 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.93%2.07%
1.589.89%10.11%
2.574.32%25.68%
3.554.19%45.81%
4.534.70%65.30%
5.519.58%80.42%
6.59.82%90.18%
7.54.41%95.59%
8.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.52%57.48%
1.510.69%89.31%
2.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.39%3.61%
1.584.41%15.59%
2.564.50%35.50%
3.542.46%57.54%
4.524.15%75.85%
5.511.98%88.02%
6.55.25%94.75%
7.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.38%16.62%
1.553.56%46.44%
2.526.79%73.21%
3.510.78%89.22%
4.53.60%96.40%
5.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.07%
6.89%
11.44%
12.67%
10.52%
6.99%
1
1.15%
3.81%
6.34%
7.02%
5.83%
3.87%
2
0.32%
1.06%
1.75%
1.94%
1.61%
1.07%
Heracles Almelo
1-01.15%
2-00.32%
2-11.06%
Draw
0-02.07%
1-13.81%
2-21.75%
3-30.36%
Ajax
0-16.89%
0-211.44%
1-26.34%
0-312.67%
1-37.02%
2-31.94%
0-410.52%
1-45.83%
2-41.61%
3-40.30%
0-56.99%
1-53.87%
2-51.07%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Heracles Almelo
Ajax
Score0123456
0
16.62%
25.56%
19.66%
10.08%
3.88%
1.19%
0.31%
1
4.26%
6.55%
5.04%
2.58%
0.99%
0.31%
0.08%
2
0.55%
0.84%
0.65%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Heracles Almelo
1-04.26%
2-00.55%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-016.62%
1-16.55%
2-20.65%
Ajax
0-125.56%
0-219.66%
1-25.04%
0-310.08%
1-32.58%
2-30.33%
0-43.88%
1-40.99%
2-40.13%
0-51.19%
1-50.31%
0-60.31%