NEC Nijmegen at Heracles Almelo

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

22.5%25.0%52.5%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 2

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Excelsior-190
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+150
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+340
L 0-4 at Twente+540
L 3-2 vs Heerenveen+110
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Ajax+900
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+140
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk+240
L 0-2 at Willem II+250
T 1-1 vs Twente+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+157+180+170+167+181+167+181+179.8
Heracles Almelo+168+144+150+162+142+162+162+174.5
Draw+262+266+235+243+266+243+266+259.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+180----+170+170+179.8
Heracles Almelo+135----+145+145+174.5
Draw+275----+265+265+259.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +173 to +167
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +175 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +185 to +170
No Steam Moves On Heracles Almelo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+118o2¾-115o3+115o2¾-119o3+115o2¾-115o3+124
Underu3-126u3-138u2¾-105u3-135u2¾+101u3-135u2¾+101u3-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+124
Under-----u3-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.74%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.36%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.61%
Exactly 35.62%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 020.06%
Exactly 132.23%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 313.86%
Exactly 45.57%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.50%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 064.17%
Exactly 128.47%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 047.53%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 213.15%
Exactly 33.26%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.76%
Wins by 3+ goals2.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals27.85%
Wins by 3+ goals11.74%
Wins by 4+ goals4.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heracles Almelo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal14.70%
Wins by 2 goals5.73%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals16.11%
Wins by 3 goals7.71%
Wins by 4 goals2.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.57%27.43%
2.547.26%52.74%
3.525.63%74.37%
4.511.76%88.24%
5.54.65%95.35%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.64%38.36%
1.524.88%75.12%
2.57.28%92.72%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.94%20.06%
1.547.71%52.29%
2.521.83%78.17%
3.57.97%92.03%
4.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.50%30.50%
1.533.28%66.72%
2.511.78%88.22%
3.53.27%96.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
7.70%
12.36%
9.93%
5.32%
2.14%
0.69%
1
7.37%
11.84%
9.51%
5.09%
2.05%
0.66%
2
3.53%
5.67%
4.56%
2.44%
0.98%
0.31%
3
1.13%
1.81%
1.46%
0.78%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.27%
0.43%
0.35%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.37%
2-03.53%
2-15.67%
3-01.13%
3-11.81%
3-21.46%
4-00.27%
4-10.43%
4-20.35%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.70%
1-111.84%
2-24.56%
3-30.78%
Heracles Almelo
0-112.36%
0-29.93%
1-29.51%
0-35.32%
1-35.09%
2-32.44%
0-42.14%
1-42.05%
2-40.98%
3-40.31%
0-50.69%
1-50.66%
2-50.31%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
30.50%
22.69%
8.44%
2.09%
0.39%
1
13.53%
10.06%
3.74%
0.93%
0.17%
2
3.00%
2.23%
0.83%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.44%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.53%
2-03.00%
2-12.23%
3-00.44%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.50%
1-110.06%
2-20.83%
Heracles Almelo
0-122.69%
0-28.44%
1-23.74%
0-32.09%
1-30.93%
2-30.21%
0-40.39%
1-40.17%
Twente at Almere City
Ajax at Excelsior