Almere City at Excelsior

Updated

Almere City

26.6%27.4%46.0%
Almere City WinDrawExcelsior Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 0

Excelsior

Last Games

Almere City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Zwolle+190
L 1-6 at Feyenoord+1550
L 1-2 at Fortuna Sittard+315
L 4-1 vs Twente+435
Excelsior
Money Line
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+345
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+180
T 2-2 vs Ajax+875
W 4-3 at NEC Nijmegen+475
L 2-3 at Volendam+335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+230-+230+215+235+235+235+251.7
Excelsior+110-+105+110+102+102+105+112.1
Draw+255-+260+290+290+290+290+309.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+225----+205+205+251.7
Excelsior+105----+115+115+112.1
Draw+295----+285+285+309.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +245 to +235
Excelsior ML moved from +110 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
Excelsior: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +220 to +205
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105-o3+102o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+102o3+109
Underu3-115-u3-122u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.63%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.54%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 037.91%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.83%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 025.41%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 310.89%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 51.02%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.84%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 063.82%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 053.03%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 210.67%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals9.43%
Wins by 3+ goals2.53%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals21.86%
Wins by 3+ goals8.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal17.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal24.14%
Wins by 2 goals13.77%
Wins by 3 goals5.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.37%9.63%
1.567.83%32.17%
2.541.45%58.55%
3.520.88%79.12%
4.58.85%91.15%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.09%37.91%
1.525.32%74.68%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.59%25.41%
1.539.78%60.22%
2.515.93%84.07%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.16%33.84%
1.529.49%70.51%
2.59.63%90.37%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.63%
13.20%
9.04%
4.13%
1.41%
0.39%
1
9.34%
12.80%
8.77%
4.00%
1.37%
0.38%
2
4.53%
6.21%
4.25%
1.94%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.46%
2.01%
1.37%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.36%
0.49%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Almere City
1-09.34%
2-04.53%
2-16.21%
3-01.46%
3-12.01%
3-21.37%
4-00.36%
4-10.49%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.63%
1-112.80%
2-24.25%
3-30.63%
Excelsior
0-113.20%
0-29.04%
1-28.77%
0-34.13%
1-34.00%
2-31.94%
0-41.41%
1-41.37%
2-40.67%
3-40.22%
0-50.39%
1-50.38%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
Excelsior
Score01234
0
33.84%
21.47%
6.81%
1.44%
0.23%
1
15.20%
9.64%
3.06%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.41%
2.16%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Almere City
1-015.20%
2-03.41%
2-12.16%
3-00.51%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.84%
1-19.64%
2-20.69%
Excelsior
0-121.47%
0-26.81%
1-23.06%
0-31.44%
1-30.65%
2-30.15%
0-40.23%
1-40.10%
Go Ahead Eag at Zwolle
Ajax at Twente