Zwolle at Excelsior

Updated

Zwolle

32.3%27.9%39.8%
Zwolle WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.25
4Final Score 2

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Feyenoord+880
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+185
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+360
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+140
W 2-1 at Almere City+135
Excelsior
Money Line
T 0-0 at Vitesse+330
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+230
W 3-0 at Heerenveen+390
T 0-0 vs Almere City+115
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+345

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+178+192+180+195+195+195+195+209.8
Excelsior+143+129+130+125+125+125+130+136.3
Draw+271+284+270+275+275+275+284+293.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+170----+190+190+209.8
Excelsior+145----+130+130+136.3
Draw+265----+270+270+293.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Zwolle ML
Excelsior ML moved from +142 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 10.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Zwolle ML
Excelsior ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o3+102o3-105o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+112
Underu3-139u3-120u3-115u3-123u3-123u3-123u3-115u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+112
Under-----u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.57%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 412.09%
Exactly 62.22%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.46%
Exactly 320.61%
Exactly 55.67%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 033.42%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 42.01%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 028.65%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.33%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.75%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 41.96%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 056.06%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.39%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals12.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals17.50%
Wins by 3+ goals5.96%
Wins by 4+ goals1.62%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal19.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal22.27%
Wins by 2 goals11.54%
Wins by 3 goals4.34%
Wins by 4 goals1.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.43%9.57%
1.567.96%32.04%
2.541.62%58.38%
3.521.01%78.99%
4.58.92%91.08%
5.53.25%96.75%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.58%33.42%
1.529.96%70.04%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.35%28.65%
1.535.54%64.46%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.25%33.75%
1.529.59%70.41%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.57%
11.97%
7.48%
3.12%
0.97%
0.24%
1
10.49%
13.12%
8.20%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
5.75%
7.19%
4.49%
1.87%
0.59%
0.15%
3
2.10%
2.63%
1.64%
0.68%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.58%
0.72%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-010.49%
2-05.75%
2-17.19%
3-02.10%
3-12.63%
3-21.64%
4-00.58%
4-10.72%
4-20.45%
4-30.19%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-09.57%
1-113.12%
2-24.49%
3-30.68%
Excelsior
0-111.97%
0-27.48%
1-28.20%
0-33.12%
1-33.42%
2-31.87%
0-40.97%
1-41.07%
2-40.59%
3-40.21%
0-50.24%
1-50.27%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Excelsior
Score01234
0
33.75%
19.53%
5.65%
1.09%
0.16%
1
17.13%
9.91%
2.87%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.35%
2.52%
0.73%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.74%
0.43%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-017.13%
2-04.35%
2-12.52%
3-00.74%
3-10.43%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.75%
1-19.91%
2-20.73%
Excelsior
0-119.53%
0-25.65%
1-22.87%
0-31.09%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%
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