Excelsior at Vitesse

Updated

Excelsior

11.0%17.5%71.5%
WinDrawVitesse Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.28
0Final Score 0

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+230
W 3-0 at Heerenveen+390
T 0-0 vs Almere City+115
L 1-3 at Heracles Almelo+345
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard+180
Vitesse
Money Line
W 3-1 at NEC Nijmegen+230
L 0-1 at Twente+800
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+250
L 2-0 vs RKC Waalwijk-190
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+466+321+295+340+340+340+340+362.8
Vitesse-187-124-125-135-135-135-124-120.4
Draw+371+303+280+300+300+300+303+320.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+345----+330+330+362.8
Vitesse-140-----140-140-120.4
Draw+315----+320+320+320.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Vitesse: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 10.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +310 to +295
No Steam Moves On Vitesse ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Vitesse: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +345 to +330
No Steam Moves On Vitesse ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3+116o2¾-115o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-115o2¾-107
Underu3+108u3-136u2¾-105u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-107
Under-----u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.74%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 417.07%
Exactly 65.29%
Exactly 80.88%
 
Exactly 114.45%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.41%
Exactly 72.31%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 046.29%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.73%
Exactly 33.53%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 010.24%
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.37%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 070.00%
Exactly 124.97%
Exactly 24.45%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals47.90%
Wins by 3+ goals26.61%
Wins by 4+ goals12.36%
Wins by 5+ goals4.87%
Wins by 6+ goals1.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Vitesse
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal7.94%
Wins by 2 goals2.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.29%
Wins by 3 goals14.25%
Wins by 4 goals7.50%
Wins by 5 goals3.23%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.26%4.74%
1.580.81%19.19%
2.558.78%41.22%
3.536.38%63.62%
4.519.31%80.69%
5.58.90%91.10%
6.53.61%96.39%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.71%46.29%
1.518.06%81.94%
2.54.32%95.68%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.76%10.24%
1.566.43%33.57%
2.539.84%60.16%
3.519.64%80.36%
4.58.13%91.87%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.63%24.37%
1.541.22%58.78%
2.516.94%83.06%
3.55.51%94.49%
4.51.47%98.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Vitesse
Score012345
0
4.74%
10.80%
12.31%
9.35%
5.33%
2.43%
1
3.65%
8.32%
9.48%
7.20%
4.10%
1.87%
2
1.41%
3.20%
3.65%
2.77%
1.58%
0.72%
3
0.36%
0.82%
0.94%
0.71%
0.41%
0.18%
Excelsior
1-03.65%
2-01.41%
2-13.20%
3-00.36%
3-10.82%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-04.74%
1-18.32%
2-23.65%
3-30.71%
Vitesse
0-110.80%
0-212.31%
1-29.48%
0-39.35%
1-37.20%
2-32.77%
0-45.33%
1-44.10%
2-41.58%
3-40.41%
0-52.43%
1-51.87%
2-50.72%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Vitesse
Score012345
0
24.37%
25.72%
13.57%
4.77%
1.26%
0.27%
1
8.69%
9.17%
4.84%
1.70%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.55%
1.64%
0.86%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-08.69%
2-01.55%
2-11.64%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-024.37%
1-19.17%
2-20.86%
Vitesse
0-125.72%
0-213.57%
1-24.84%
0-34.77%
1-31.70%
2-30.30%
0-41.26%
1-40.45%
0-50.27%
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