Vitesse at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Vitesse

35.2%27.8%37.0%
Vitesse WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.21
3Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Vitesse
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente+800
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+250
L 2-0 vs RKC Waalwijk-190
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+190
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+385
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+140
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1350
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+275
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-135
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+179+232+215+237+237+237+237+253.6
NEC Nijmegen+146+117+120+110+110+110+120+120.3
Draw+265+259+235+262+262+262+262+279.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+205----+230+230+253.6
NEC Nijmegen+125----+110+110+120.3
Draw+260----+270+270+279.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from +225 to +215
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +115 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from +240 to +230
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +115 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+101o2½-128o2¾-102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-128o2¾+109
Underu3-119u2½+108u2¾-118u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2¾-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.00%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 029.84%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.19%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 058.10%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 057.13%
Exactly 131.99%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals14.64%
Wins by 3+ goals4.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals15.77%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.37%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal20.56%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.20%
Wins by 2 goals10.57%
Wins by 3 goals3.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.76%31.24%
2.542.56%57.44%
3.521.75%78.25%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.05%30.95%
1.532.75%67.25%
2.511.46%88.54%
3.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.16%29.84%
1.534.07%65.93%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.81%33.19%
1.530.20%69.80%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
9.24%
11.17%
6.75%
2.72%
0.82%
0.20%
1
10.83%
13.10%
7.92%
3.19%
0.97%
0.23%
2
6.35%
7.68%
4.64%
1.87%
0.57%
0.14%
3
2.48%
3.00%
1.82%
0.73%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.73%
0.88%
0.53%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-010.83%
2-06.35%
2-17.68%
3-02.48%
3-13.00%
3-21.82%
4-00.73%
4-10.88%
4-20.53%
4-30.21%
5-00.17%
5-10.21%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-113.10%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.17%
0-26.75%
1-27.92%
0-32.72%
1-33.19%
2-31.87%
0-40.82%
1-40.97%
2-40.57%
3-40.22%
0-50.20%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
33.19%
18.58%
5.20%
0.97%
0.14%
1
18.02%
10.09%
2.82%
0.53%
0.07%
2
4.89%
2.74%
0.77%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.89%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-018.02%
2-04.89%
2-12.74%
3-00.89%
3-10.50%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-033.19%
1-110.09%
2-20.77%
NEC Nijmegen
0-118.58%
0-25.20%
1-22.82%
0-30.97%
1-30.53%
2-30.14%
0-40.14%
Heerenveen at Twente
Sparta R'dam at Excelsior