NEC Nijmegen at Sparta R'dam

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

23.1%25.2%51.7%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawSparta R'dam Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 1

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-135
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+170
L 4-3 vs Excelsior-190
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+150
L 3-0 vs AZ Alkmaar+340
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
W 3-1 at Heerenveen+210
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord+375
W 2-1 at Zwolle+160
L 0-1 at Twente+650
T 1-1 vs Twente+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+248+261+250+260+260+260+261+277.8
Sparta R'dam+101+104+100-102-102-102+104+107.8
Draw+292+267+260+275+275+275+275+293.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+245----+275+275+277.8
Sparta R'dam+100-----110-110+107.8
Draw+280----+280+280+293.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +240 to +230
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +295 to +275
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-126o3+117o2¾-110o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾+102
Underu3+108u3-137u2¾-110u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u3-137u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.76%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 413.80%
Exactly 63.01%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.84%
Exactly 321.60%
Exactly 57.06%
Exactly 71.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 020.49%
Exactly 132.48%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.60%
Exactly 45.39%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.62%
Exactly 221.44%
Exactly 42.50%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 38.46%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.80%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 048.00%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.93%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals8.07%
Wins by 3+ goals2.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals27.13%
Wins by 3+ goals11.31%
Wins by 4+ goals3.84%
Wins by 5+ goals1.08%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal15.02%
Wins by 2 goals5.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal24.54%
Wins by 2 goals15.82%
Wins by 3 goals7.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.83%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.24%7.76%
1.572.40%27.60%
2.547.05%52.95%
3.525.45%74.55%
4.511.64%88.36%
5.54.59%95.41%
6.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.12%37.88%
1.525.35%74.65%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.51%20.49%
1.547.03%52.97%
2.521.28%78.72%
3.57.68%92.32%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.38%30.62%
1.533.14%66.86%
2.511.69%88.31%
3.53.23%96.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Score012345
0
7.76%
12.30%
9.75%
5.15%
2.04%
0.65%
1
7.53%
11.94%
9.47%
5.00%
1.98%
0.63%
2
3.66%
5.80%
4.60%
2.43%
0.96%
0.31%
3
1.18%
1.88%
1.49%
0.79%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.29%
0.46%
0.36%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.53%
2-03.66%
2-15.80%
3-01.18%
3-11.88%
3-21.49%
4-00.29%
4-10.46%
4-20.36%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.76%
1-111.94%
2-24.60%
3-30.79%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-112.30%
0-29.75%
1-29.47%
0-35.15%
1-35.00%
2-32.43%
0-42.04%
1-41.98%
2-40.96%
3-40.31%
0-50.65%
1-50.63%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Score01234
0
30.62%
22.48%
8.25%
2.02%
0.37%
1
13.76%
10.10%
3.71%
0.91%
0.17%
2
3.09%
2.27%
0.83%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.46%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-013.76%
2-03.09%
2-12.27%
3-00.46%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.62%
1-110.10%
2-20.83%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-122.48%
0-28.25%
1-23.71%
0-32.02%
1-30.91%
2-30.20%
0-40.37%
1-40.17%