NEC Nijmegen at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

5.6%11.2%83.2%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.95
0Final Score 4

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+275
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-135
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+170
L 4-3 vs Excelsior-190
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+150
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 4-0 at RKC Waalwijk-375
W 3-1 at Vitesse-150
W 0-2 vs Utrecht-300
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+140
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen-500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1159+1518+1300+1400+1400+1400+1518+1475.0
PSV Eindhoven-460-617-625-675-675-675-617-486.5
Draw+618+750+700+790+790+790+790+834.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1205----+1350+1350+1475.0
PSV Eindhoven-500-----635-635-486.5
Draw+615----+750+750+834.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1300 to +1200
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -610 to -617

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1400 to +1350
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -600 to -635

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-132o3¾-110o3¾-105o3¾-105o3¾-105o3½-132o3¾+104
Underu3½-108u3½+112u3¾-110u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-110u3¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+104
Under-----u3¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.70%
Exactly 217.62%
Exactly 419.14%
Exactly 68.32%
Exactly 81.94%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.76%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 513.83%
Exactly 74.29%
Exactly 90.78%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 051.51%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 211.34%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 115.47%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.50%
Exactly 59.73%
Exactly 64.78%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.79%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 46.12%
Exactly 60.57%
 
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 314.63%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 073.55%
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 23.47%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 025.55%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals64.39%
Wins by 3+ goals42.86%
Wins by 4+ goals24.46%
Wins by 5+ goals12.04%
Wins by 6+ goals5.15%
Wins by 7+ goals1.91%
Wins by 8+ goals0.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal4.21%
Wins by 2 goals1.08%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal18.75%
Wins by 2 goals21.53%
Wins by 3 goals18.40%
Wins by 4 goals12.42%
Wins by 5 goals6.89%
Wins by 6 goals3.24%
Wins by 7 goals1.32%
Wins by 8 goals0.46%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.30%2.70%
1.587.54%12.46%
2.569.92%30.08%
3.548.71%51.29%
4.529.56%70.44%
5.515.74%84.26%
6.57.42%92.58%
7.53.13%96.87%
8.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.49%51.51%
1.514.32%85.68%
2.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.29%20.71%
2.556.49%43.51%
3.534.10%65.90%
4.517.60%82.40%
5.57.87%92.13%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.21%18.79%
1.549.80%50.20%
2.523.54%76.46%
3.58.90%91.10%
4.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
2.70%
7.97%
11.74%
11.53%
8.50%
5.01%
1
1.79%
5.29%
7.79%
7.65%
5.64%
3.32%
2
0.59%
1.75%
2.58%
2.54%
1.87%
1.10%
3
0.13%
0.39%
0.57%
0.56%
0.41%
0.24%
NEC Nijmegen
1-01.79%
2-00.59%
2-11.75%
3-00.13%
3-10.39%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-02.70%
1-15.29%
2-22.58%
3-30.56%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.97%
0-211.74%
1-27.79%
0-311.53%
1-37.65%
2-32.54%
0-48.50%
1-45.64%
2-41.87%
3-40.41%
0-55.01%
1-53.32%
2-51.10%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
18.79%
25.64%
17.50%
7.96%
2.72%
0.74%
0.17%
1
5.77%
7.88%
5.37%
2.44%
0.83%
0.23%
0.05%
2
0.89%
1.21%
0.83%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.77%
2-00.89%
2-11.21%
Draw
0-018.79%
1-17.88%
2-20.83%
PSV Eindhoven
0-125.64%
0-217.50%
1-25.37%
0-37.96%
1-32.44%
2-30.38%
0-42.72%
1-40.83%
2-40.13%
0-50.74%
1-50.23%
0-60.17%
RKC Waalwijk at Vitesse
Volendam at Fortuna Sittard