NEC Nijmegen at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

5.6%11.2%83.2%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.66Projected Goals 2.95
0Final Score 4

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+275
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-135
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo+170
L 4-3 vs Excelsior-190
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+150
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 4-0 at RKC Waalwijk-375
W 3-1 at Vitesse-150
W 0-2 vs Utrecht-300
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+140
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen-500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1159+1518+1300+1400+1400+1400+1518+1475.0
PSV Eindhoven-460-617-625-675-675-675-617-486.5
Draw+618+750+700+790+790+790+790+834.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+1205----+1350+1350+1475.0
PSV Eindhoven-500-----635-635-486.5
Draw+615----+750+750+834.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1300 to +1200
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -610 to -617

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1400 to +1350
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -600 to -635

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-132o3¾-110o3¾-105o3¾-105o3¾-105o3½-132o3¾+104
Underu3½-108u3½+112u3¾-110u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-115u3¾-110u3¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+104
Under-----u3¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.70%
Exactly 217.62%
Exactly 419.14%
Exactly 68.32%
Exactly 81.94%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.76%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 513.83%
Exactly 74.29%
Exactly 90.78%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 051.51%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 211.34%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 05.25%
Exactly 115.47%
Exactly 222.79%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.50%
Exactly 59.73%
Exactly 64.78%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 80.74%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.79%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 46.12%
Exactly 60.57%
 
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 314.63%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 073.55%
Exactly 122.59%
Exactly 23.47%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 025.55%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 310.82%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.29%
Wins by 3+ goals0.22%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals64.39%
Wins by 3+ goals42.86%
Wins by 4+ goals24.46%
Wins by 5+ goals12.04%
Wins by 6+ goals5.15%
Wins by 7+ goals1.91%
Wins by 8+ goals0.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal4.21%
Wins by 2 goals1.08%
Wins by 3 goals0.20%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal18.75%
Wins by 2 goals21.53%
Wins by 3 goals18.40%
Wins by 4 goals12.42%
Wins by 5 goals6.89%
Wins by 6 goals3.24%
Wins by 7 goals1.32%
Wins by 8 goals0.46%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.30%2.70%
1.587.54%12.46%
2.569.92%30.08%
3.548.71%51.29%
4.529.56%70.44%
5.515.74%84.26%
6.57.42%92.58%
7.53.13%96.87%
8.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.49%51.51%
1.514.32%85.68%
2.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.75%5.25%
1.579.29%20.71%
2.556.49%43.51%
3.534.10%65.90%
4.517.60%82.40%
5.57.87%92.13%
6.53.09%96.91%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.21%18.79%
1.549.80%50.20%
2.523.54%76.46%
3.58.90%91.10%
4.52.79%97.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
2.70%
7.97%
11.74%
11.53%
8.50%
5.01%
1
1.79%
5.29%
7.79%
7.65%
5.64%
3.32%
2
0.59%
1.75%
2.58%
2.54%
1.87%
1.10%
3
0.13%
0.39%
0.57%
0.56%
0.41%
0.24%
NEC Nijmegen
1-01.79%
2-00.59%
2-11.75%
3-00.13%
3-10.39%
3-20.57%
Draw
0-02.70%
1-15.29%
2-22.58%
3-30.56%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.97%
0-211.74%
1-27.79%
0-311.53%
1-37.65%
2-32.54%
0-48.50%
1-45.64%
2-41.87%
3-40.41%
0-55.01%
1-53.32%
2-51.10%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Score0123456
0
18.79%
25.64%
17.50%
7.96%
2.72%
0.74%
0.17%
1
5.77%
7.88%
5.37%
2.44%
0.83%
0.23%
0.05%
2
0.89%
1.21%
0.83%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.77%
2-00.89%
2-11.21%
Draw
0-018.79%
1-17.88%
2-20.83%
PSV Eindhoven
0-125.64%
0-217.50%
1-25.37%
0-37.96%
1-32.44%
2-30.38%
0-42.72%
1-40.83%
2-40.13%
0-50.74%
1-50.23%
0-60.17%