PSV Eindhoven at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

37.9%25.9%36.1%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
1.36Projected Goals 1.32
2Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen-500
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-1000
W 1-0 at Sparta Rotterdam-195
W 0-3 vs Ajax+105
W 3-2 at Volendam-385
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 3-0 at NEC Nijmegen-135
W 1-5 vs Emmen-300
T 0-0 at Ajax+380
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-265
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+140+185+180+176+189+176+189+189.6
AZ Alkmaar+170+142+145+140+143+140+143+151.8
Draw+255+262+235+270+269+270+270+288.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+140----+140+140+189.6
AZ Alkmaar+170----+170+170+151.8
Draw+280----+280+280+288.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 20.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On PSV Eindhoven ML
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +175 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
AZ Alkmaar: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +150 to +140
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-122o3+109o2¾-120o2¾-117o3+110o2¾-117o2¾-117o2¾-106
Underu3+102u3-129u2¾+100u2¾-103u3-125u2¾-103u3-125u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-106
Under-----u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.5%
 
No45.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 224.62%
Exactly 414.74%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.37%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.90%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 025.68%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 026.68%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.29%
Exactly 310.26%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.90%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 39.21%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 053.29%
Exactly 133.54%
Exactly 210.56%
Exactly 32.21%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 054.24%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 210.15%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals17.28%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals16.10%
Wins by 3+ goals5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal20.59%
Wins by 2 goals11.08%
Wins by 3 goals4.41%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.01%
Wins by 2 goals10.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.78%25.22%
2.550.16%49.84%
3.528.17%71.83%
4.513.42%86.58%
5.55.52%94.48%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.32%25.68%
1.539.41%60.59%
2.515.68%84.32%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.32%26.68%
1.538.07%61.93%
2.514.78%85.22%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.10%28.90%
1.535.22%64.78%
2.512.96%87.04%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
6.85%
9.05%
5.98%
2.63%
0.87%
0.23%
1
9.31%
12.31%
8.13%
3.58%
1.18%
0.31%
2
6.33%
8.37%
5.53%
2.43%
0.80%
0.21%
3
2.87%
3.79%
2.50%
1.10%
0.36%
0.10%
4
0.98%
1.29%
0.85%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.27%
0.35%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
PSV Eindhoven
1-09.31%
2-06.33%
2-18.37%
3-02.87%
3-13.79%
3-22.50%
4-00.98%
4-11.29%
4-20.85%
4-30.37%
5-00.27%
5-10.35%
5-20.23%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.85%
1-112.31%
2-25.53%
3-31.10%
4-40.12%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.05%
0-25.98%
1-28.13%
0-32.63%
1-33.58%
2-32.43%
0-40.87%
1-41.18%
2-40.80%
3-40.36%
0-50.23%
1-50.31%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Score01234
0
28.90%
17.68%
5.41%
1.10%
0.17%
1
18.19%
11.13%
3.40%
0.69%
0.11%
2
5.73%
3.50%
1.07%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.20%
0.73%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.19%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-018.19%
2-05.73%
2-13.50%
3-01.20%
3-10.73%
3-20.22%
4-00.19%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-028.90%
1-111.13%
2-21.07%
AZ Alkmaar
0-117.68%
0-25.41%
1-23.40%
0-31.10%
1-30.69%
2-30.22%
0-40.17%
1-40.11%