Ajax at Utrecht

Updated

Ajax

56.8%22.5%20.7%
Ajax WinDrawUtrecht Win
1.86Projected Goals 1.04
3Final Score 4

Utrecht

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200
T 2-2 at Excelsior-400
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
Utrecht
Money Line
L 0-1 at Volendam-120
L 2-0 vs Almere City-185
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen+190
W 3-1 at Heracles Almelo+145
L 5-1 vs Feyenoord+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-115-106-110-114-108-108-106+102.0
Utrecht+290+278+270+290+275+275+278+293.4
Draw+302+283+260+285+280+280+283+298.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-125-----115-115+102.0
Utrecht+300----+275+275+293.4
Draw+305----+300+300+298.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -112 to -118
Utrecht ML moved from +290 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Utrecht: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Utrecht ML moved from +290 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-138o3-108o3-115o3-108o3-108o3-108o3-108o3+102
Underu3+118u3-108u3-105u3-112u3-112u3-112u3-105u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.6%
 
No45.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.49%
Exactly 223.12%
Exactly 416.23%
Exactly 64.56%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.93%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.42%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 015.48%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.75%
Exactly 47.81%
Exactly 52.92%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 035.45%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.06%
Exactly 36.59%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.08%
Exactly 223.55%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 310.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 042.15%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.73%
Exactly 34.53%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 061.87%
Exactly 129.71%
Exactly 27.13%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals32.78%
Wins by 3+ goals15.37%
Wins by 4+ goals5.94%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals7.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Utrecht
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals17.41%
Wins by 3 goals9.43%
Wins by 4 goals4.03%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal13.28%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.51%5.49%
1.578.58%21.42%
2.555.47%44.53%
3.533.10%66.90%
4.516.87%83.13%
5.57.44%92.56%
6.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.52%15.48%
1.555.64%44.36%
2.528.70%71.30%
3.511.95%88.05%
4.54.13%95.87%
5.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.55%35.45%
1.527.78%72.22%
2.58.72%91.28%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.92%26.08%
1.538.87%61.13%
2.515.31%84.69%
3.54.76%95.24%
4.51.22%98.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Utrecht
Score01234
0
5.49%
5.69%
2.95%
1.02%
0.26%
1
10.24%
10.62%
5.50%
1.90%
0.49%
2
9.55%
9.90%
5.14%
1.78%
0.46%
3
5.94%
6.16%
3.19%
1.10%
0.29%
4
2.77%
2.87%
1.49%
0.51%
0.13%
5
1.03%
1.07%
0.56%
0.19%
0.05%
Ajax
1-010.24%
2-09.55%
2-19.90%
3-05.94%
3-16.16%
3-23.19%
4-02.77%
4-12.87%
4-21.49%
4-30.51%
5-01.03%
5-11.07%
5-20.56%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.49%
1-110.62%
2-25.14%
3-31.10%
4-40.13%
Utrecht
0-15.69%
0-22.95%
1-25.50%
0-31.02%
1-31.90%
2-31.78%
0-40.26%
1-40.49%
2-40.46%
3-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Utrecht
Score0123
0
26.08%
12.52%
3.01%
0.48%
1
22.53%
10.82%
2.60%
0.42%
2
9.73%
4.67%
1.12%
0.18%
3
2.80%
1.35%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.61%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-022.53%
2-09.73%
2-14.67%
3-02.80%
3-11.35%
3-20.32%
4-00.61%
4-10.29%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-026.08%
1-110.82%
2-21.12%
Utrecht
0-112.52%
0-23.01%
1-22.60%
0-30.48%
1-30.42%
2-30.18%