AZ Alkmaar at Ajax

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

18.5%21.3%60.2%
WinDrawAjax Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.98
2Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-300
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo-430
W 3-0 at Zwolle-140
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-210
W 2-0 at Vitesse+135
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200
T 2-2 at Excelsior-400
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo-475
L 1-3 at Twente+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+196+167+150+156+156+156+167+170.5
Ajax+127+154+155+158+158+158+158+172.6
Draw+282+268+245+259+259+259+268+279.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar+195----+165+165+170.5
Ajax+125----+145+145+172.6
Draw+275----+275+275+279.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +165 to +156
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

AZ Alkmaar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from +175 to +165
No Steam Moves On Ajax ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-114o3+106o2¾-118o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-118o2¾-109
Underu3-104u3-126u2¾-102u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+100u3-126u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-112 to u2¾+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.5%
 
No45.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.07%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 416.70%
Exactly 64.95%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.12%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.96%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 036.79%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 41.53%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.78%
Exactly 127.31%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.88%
Exactly 48.86%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.14%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 062.94%
Exactly 129.14%
Exactly 26.74%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.95%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.82%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals6.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals36.19%
Wins by 3+ goals17.79%
Wins by 4+ goals7.23%
Wins by 5+ goals2.45%
Wins by 6+ goals0.67%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal12.05%
Wins by 2 goals4.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.89%
Wins by 2 goals18.40%
Wins by 3 goals10.56%
Wins by 4 goals4.78%
Wins by 5 goals1.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.93%5.07%
1.579.81%20.19%
2.557.27%42.73%
3.534.87%65.13%
4.518.17%81.83%
5.58.21%91.79%
6.53.26%96.74%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.21%36.79%
1.526.42%73.58%
2.58.03%91.97%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.22%13.78%
1.558.91%41.09%
2.531.84%68.16%
3.513.96%86.04%
4.55.10%94.90%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.86%25.14%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
5.07%
10.05%
9.96%
6.58%
3.26%
1.29%
1
5.07%
10.05%
9.96%
6.58%
3.26%
1.29%
2
2.53%
5.02%
4.98%
3.29%
1.63%
0.65%
3
0.84%
1.67%
1.66%
1.10%
0.54%
0.22%
4
0.21%
0.42%
0.41%
0.27%
0.14%
0.05%
AZ Alkmaar
1-05.07%
2-02.53%
2-15.02%
3-00.84%
3-11.67%
3-21.66%
4-00.21%
4-10.42%
4-20.41%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-05.07%
1-110.05%
2-24.98%
3-31.10%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-110.05%
0-29.96%
1-29.96%
0-36.58%
1-36.58%
2-33.29%
0-43.26%
1-43.26%
2-41.63%
3-40.54%
0-51.29%
1-51.29%
2-50.65%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Score012345
0
25.14%
23.07%
10.59%
3.24%
0.74%
0.14%
1
11.64%
10.68%
4.90%
1.50%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.69%
2.47%
1.13%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.42%
0.38%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-011.64%
2-02.69%
2-12.47%
3-00.42%
3-10.38%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-025.14%
1-110.68%
2-21.13%
Ajax
0-123.07%
0-210.59%
1-24.90%
0-33.24%
1-31.50%
2-30.35%
0-40.74%
1-40.34%
0-50.14%
Feyenoord at Zwolle
Twente at Fortuna Sittard