NEC Nijmegen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

7.6%13.9%78.4%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.63
2Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Almere City-120
T 1-1 at Heerenveen+240
L 3-1 vs Vitesse+110
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+140
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1350
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen-275
W 2-1 at Ajax+165
W 0-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-300
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo-430
W 3-0 at Zwolle-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+798+988+875+1020+960+1020+1020+1075.7
AZ Alkmaar-281-351-375-385-375-385-351-310.1
Draw+424+489+460+500+500+500+500+529.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+845----+950+950+1075.7
AZ Alkmaar-315-----375-375-310.1
Draw+435----+500+500+529.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +965 to +900
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -375 to -385

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +1025 to +950
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -360 to -405

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-117o3-114o3-110o3-113o3-107o3-113o3-107o3-103
Underu3-101u3-104u3-110u3-107u3-113u3-107u3-104u3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-103
Under-----u3+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.57%
Exactly 219.81%
Exactly 418.35%
Exactly 66.80%
Exactly 81.35%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.89%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 512.24%
Exactly 73.24%
Exactly 90.50%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 049.44%
Exactly 134.83%
Exactly 212.27%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 07.21%
Exactly 118.96%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 414.36%
Exactly 57.55%
Exactly 63.31%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.36%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 45.05%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 313.09%
Exactly 51.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 072.17%
Exactly 123.54%
Exactly 23.84%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 029.60%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 38.90%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals1.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals57.19%
Wins by 3+ goals35.26%
Wins by 4+ goals18.43%
Wins by 5+ goals8.25%
Wins by 6+ goals3.20%
Wins by 7+ goals1.07%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal5.67%
Wins by 2 goals1.56%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals21.93%
Wins by 3 goals16.83%
Wins by 4 goals10.18%
Wins by 5 goals5.05%
Wins by 6 goals2.12%
Wins by 7 goals0.77%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.43%3.57%
1.584.55%15.45%
2.564.73%35.27%
3.542.71%57.29%
4.524.36%75.64%
5.512.12%87.88%
6.55.32%94.68%
7.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.56%49.44%
1.515.73%84.27%
2.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.79%7.21%
1.573.82%26.18%
2.548.89%51.11%
3.527.04%72.96%
4.512.68%87.32%
5.55.12%94.88%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.64%21.36%
1.545.67%54.33%
2.520.22%79.78%
3.57.12%92.88%
4.52.07%97.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.57%
9.38%
12.33%
10.80%
7.10%
3.73%
1
2.51%
6.60%
8.68%
7.61%
5.00%
2.63%
2
0.88%
2.33%
3.06%
2.68%
1.76%
0.93%
3
0.21%
0.55%
0.72%
0.63%
0.41%
0.22%
NEC Nijmegen
1-02.51%
2-00.88%
2-12.33%
3-00.21%
3-10.55%
3-20.72%
Draw
0-03.57%
1-16.60%
2-23.06%
3-30.63%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.38%
0-212.33%
1-28.68%
0-310.80%
1-37.61%
2-32.68%
0-47.10%
1-45.00%
2-41.76%
3-40.41%
0-53.73%
1-52.63%
2-50.93%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
21.36%
26.01%
15.83%
6.42%
1.96%
0.48%
1
6.97%
8.48%
5.16%
2.10%
0.64%
0.16%
2
1.14%
1.38%
0.84%
0.34%
0.10%
0.03%
3
0.12%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.97%
2-01.14%
2-11.38%
3-00.12%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-021.36%
1-18.48%
2-20.84%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.01%
0-215.83%
1-25.16%
0-36.42%
1-32.10%
2-30.34%
0-41.96%
1-40.64%
2-40.10%
0-50.48%
1-50.16%
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