NEC Nijmegen at Heerenveen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

21.0%23.8%55.2%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.72
1Final Score 1

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Vitesse+110
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+140
L 0-4 at PSV Eindhoven+1350
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+275
W 0-3 vs RKC Waalwijk-135
Heerenveen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente+750
L 3-0 vs Excelsior-160
L 1-6 at Feyenoord+1150
L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles+235
L 3-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+219+249+230+265+265+265+265+282.3
Heerenveen+117+112+115+105+105+105+112+114.7
Draw+276+254+240+250+250+250+254+266.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+210----+240+240+282.3
Heerenveen+120----+110+110+114.7
Draw+270----+255+255+266.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +219 to +213
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
No Steam Moves On Heerenveen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+101o2½-112o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu3-119u2½-104u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-110u2½-104u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.96%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.11%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 017.82%
Exactly 130.74%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 315.24%
Exactly 46.57%
Exactly 52.27%
Exactly 60.65%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.79%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.98%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 26.38%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 044.99%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 214.35%
Exactly 33.82%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals30.64%
Wins by 3+ goals13.63%
Wins by 4+ goals4.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal13.74%
Wins by 2 goals5.32%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.57%
Wins by 2 goals17.01%
Wins by 3 goals8.67%
Wins by 4 goals3.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.94%25.06%
2.550.38%49.62%
3.528.36%71.64%
4.513.55%86.45%
5.55.59%94.41%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.89%38.11%
1.525.13%74.87%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.18%17.82%
1.551.44%48.56%
2.524.94%75.06%
3.59.69%90.31%
4.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.21%28.79%
1.535.37%64.63%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.78%96.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
6.79%
11.71%
10.10%
5.81%
2.50%
0.86%
1
6.55%
11.30%
9.75%
5.60%
2.42%
0.83%
2
3.16%
5.45%
4.70%
2.70%
1.17%
0.40%
3
1.02%
1.75%
1.51%
0.87%
0.37%
0.13%
4
0.25%
0.42%
0.36%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-06.55%
2-03.16%
2-15.45%
3-01.02%
3-11.75%
3-21.51%
4-00.25%
4-10.42%
4-20.36%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-111.30%
2-24.70%
3-30.87%
Heerenveen
0-111.71%
0-210.10%
1-29.75%
0-35.81%
1-35.60%
2-32.70%
0-42.50%
1-42.42%
2-41.17%
3-40.37%
0-50.86%
1-50.83%
2-50.40%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score01234
0
28.79%
22.99%
9.18%
2.44%
0.49%
1
12.86%
10.27%
4.10%
1.09%
0.22%
2
2.87%
2.29%
0.92%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.43%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-012.86%
2-02.87%
2-12.29%
3-00.43%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.79%
1-110.27%
2-20.92%
Heerenveen
0-122.99%
0-29.18%
1-24.10%
0-32.44%
1-31.09%
2-30.24%
0-40.49%
1-40.22%
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