Volendam at Ajax

Updated

Volendam

3.0%7.9%89.1%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.51Projected Goals 3.30
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Volendam
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Excelsior+155
L 1-2 at RKC Waalwijk+365
W 0-1 vs Utrecht+280
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+3000
T 2-2 vs Heracles Almelo+190
Ajax
Money Line
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven+900
L 3-4 at Utrecht-115
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+145
L 1-3 at Twente+160
T 0-0 at Fortuna Sittard-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Volendam+946+942+900+1025+1025+1025+1025+1080.4
Ajax-388-415-480-460-460-460-415-360.6
Draw+570+623+600+620+620+620+623+655.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Volendam+750----+935+935+1080.4
Ajax-350-----440-440-360.6
Draw+540----+610+610+655.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Volendam: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Volendam ML moved from +911 to +880
Ajax ML moved from -407 to -415

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Volendam: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Volendam ML moved from +780 to +745
Ajax ML moved from -375 to -440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-126o4-118o4-115o4-117o4-117o4-117o4-115o4-106
Underu3½+106u4+100u4-105u4-103u4-103u4-103u4+100u4+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-106
Under-----u4+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-121 to o4+107
The Under moved from u4-126 to u3½+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.21%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 419.45%
Exactly 69.42%
Exactly 82.45%
Exactly 100.39%
 
Exactly 18.42%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 514.83%
Exactly 75.13%
Exactly 91.04%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 059.74%
Exactly 130.77%
Exactly 27.93%
Exactly 31.36%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 03.70%
Exactly 112.20%
Exactly 220.11%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 418.21%
Exactly 512.01%
Exactly 66.60%
Exactly 73.11%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 90.47%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.12%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 46.92%
Exactly 60.72%
 
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 315.69%
Exactly 52.44%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 078.78%
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 22.24%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 021.73%
Exactly 133.17%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 312.88%
Exactly 44.92%
Exactly 51.50%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals0.57%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals73.54%
Wins by 3+ goals53.11%
Wins by 4+ goals33.26%
Wins by 5+ goals18.11%
Wins by 6+ goals8.64%
Wins by 7+ goals3.63%
Wins by 8+ goals1.34%
Wins by 9+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Volendam
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal2.42%
Wins by 2 goals0.49%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals20.43%
Wins by 3 goals19.85%
Wins by 4 goals15.15%
Wins by 5 goals9.47%
Wins by 6 goals5.01%
Wins by 7 goals2.29%
Wins by 8 goals0.92%
Wins by 9 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.79%2.21%
1.589.37%10.63%
2.573.31%26.69%
3.552.90%47.10%
4.533.45%66.55%
5.518.63%81.37%
6.59.20%90.80%
7.54.07%95.93%
8.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.26%59.74%
1.59.48%90.52%
2.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.30%3.70%
1.584.11%15.89%
2.564.00%36.00%
3.541.90%58.10%
4.523.69%76.31%
5.511.68%88.32%
6.55.08%94.92%
7.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.88%17.12%
1.552.67%47.33%
2.526.00%74.00%
3.510.32%89.68%
4.53.39%96.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Volendam
Ajax
Score012345
0
2.21%
7.29%
12.01%
13.20%
10.88%
7.18%
1
1.14%
3.75%
6.19%
6.80%
5.61%
3.70%
2
0.29%
0.97%
1.59%
1.75%
1.44%
0.95%
Volendam
1-01.14%
2-00.29%
2-10.97%
Draw
0-02.21%
1-13.75%
2-21.59%
3-30.30%
Ajax
0-17.29%
0-212.01%
1-26.19%
0-313.20%
1-36.80%
2-31.75%
0-410.88%
1-45.61%
2-41.44%
3-40.25%
0-57.18%
1-53.70%
2-50.95%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Volendam
Ajax
Score0123456
0
17.12%
26.13%
19.95%
10.15%
3.87%
1.18%
0.30%
1
4.08%
6.23%
4.76%
2.42%
0.92%
0.28%
0.07%
2
0.49%
0.74%
0.57%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Volendam
1-04.08%
2-00.49%
2-10.74%
Draw
0-017.12%
1-16.23%
2-20.57%
Ajax
0-126.13%
0-219.95%
1-24.76%
0-310.15%
1-32.42%
2-30.29%
0-43.87%
1-40.92%
2-40.11%
0-51.18%
1-50.28%
0-60.30%