Go Ahead Eag at Excelsior

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

44.1%26.9%29.0%
Go Ahead Eag WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Utrecht+115
L 3-1 vs Twente+275
T 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen+175
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk+120
W 1-5 vs Vitesse-110
Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-4 at Twente+950
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk+260
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+1050
T 2-2 at Utrecht+430
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+690

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+134+129+130+125+125+125+130+136.2
Excelsior+196+196+180+191+198+191+198+205.5
Draw+264+277+255+282+282+282+282+301.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+125----+130+130+136.2
Excelsior+200----+190+190+205.5
Draw+265----+270+270+301.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +142 to +130
Excelsior ML moved from +183 to +177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Go Ahead Eag ML
Excelsior ML moved from +200 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o3-104o3-102o3-103o3-104o3-103o3-102o3+106
Underu3-133u3-114u3-118u3-117u3-114u3-117u3-114u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+106
Under-----u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-114 to o3-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 025.04%
Exactly 134.67%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 311.08%
Exactly 43.83%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 034.33%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 052.68%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 210.82%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.96%
Exactly 130.17%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals20.87%
Wins by 3+ goals7.73%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals11.03%
Wins by 3+ goals3.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal23.18%
Wins by 2 goals13.14%
Wins by 3 goals5.44%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal17.90%
Wins by 2 goals7.83%
Wins by 3 goals2.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.31%29.69%
2.544.42%55.58%
3.523.26%76.74%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.96%25.04%
1.540.28%59.72%
2.516.28%83.72%
3.55.20%94.80%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.67%34.33%
1.528.97%71.03%
2.59.34%90.66%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.41%68.59%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Excelsior
Score012345
0
8.60%
9.19%
4.91%
1.75%
0.47%
0.10%
1
11.90%
12.73%
6.80%
2.42%
0.65%
0.14%
2
8.24%
8.81%
4.71%
1.68%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.80%
4.07%
2.17%
0.77%
0.21%
0.04%
4
1.32%
1.41%
0.75%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.39%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-011.90%
2-08.24%
2-18.81%
3-03.80%
3-14.07%
3-22.17%
4-01.32%
4-11.41%
4-20.75%
4-30.27%
5-00.36%
5-10.39%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.73%
2-24.71%
3-30.77%
Excelsior
0-19.19%
0-24.91%
1-26.80%
0-31.75%
1-32.42%
2-31.68%
0-40.47%
1-40.65%
2-40.45%
3-40.21%
0-50.10%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Excelsior
Score0123
0
32.11%
15.89%
3.93%
0.65%
1
20.58%
10.19%
2.52%
0.42%
2
6.60%
3.27%
0.81%
0.13%
3
1.41%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-020.58%
2-06.60%
2-13.27%
3-01.41%
3-10.70%
3-20.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.19%
2-20.81%
Excelsior
0-115.89%
0-23.93%
1-22.52%
0-30.65%
1-30.42%
2-30.13%
RKC Waalwijk at Utrecht
Volendam at Heerenveen