Excelsior at Twente

Updated

Excelsior

11.2%18.0%70.8%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.22
2Final Score 4

Twente

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk+260
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+1050
T 2-2 at Utrecht+430
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+690
L 1-3 at Volendam+155
Twente
Money Line
W 3-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+240
T 3-3 vs NEC Nijmegen-320
T 1-1 at Utrecht-145
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+996+1032+1000+900+1023+1000+1032+1054.6
Twente-382-388-460-405-433-428-388-339.1
Draw+540+538+550+575+564+575+575+608.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+1025----+950+950+1054.6
Twente-400-----400-400-339.1
Draw+525----+540+540+608.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Twente ML moved from -419 to -433

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 30.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +965 to +950
Twente ML moved from -385 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+101o3-135o3¼-105o3¼+100o3¼-101o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+109
Underu3½-119u3+115u3¼-115u3¼-120u3¼-117u3¼-120u3¼-115u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.13%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.95%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 046.94%
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 213.43%
Exactly 33.38%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 54.90%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.16%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 070.46%
Exactly 124.67%
Exactly 24.32%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals3.03%
Wins by 3+ goals0.59%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals46.90%
Wins by 3+ goals25.64%
Wins by 4+ goals11.70%
Wins by 5+ goals4.51%
Wins by 6+ goals1.48%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal8.10%
Wins by 2 goals2.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.52%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.86%
Wins by 2 goals21.26%
Wins by 3 goals13.95%
Wins by 4 goals7.18%
Wins by 5 goals3.03%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.79%20.21%
2.557.24%42.76%
3.534.84%65.16%
4.518.14%81.86%
5.58.19%91.81%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.06%46.94%
1.517.56%82.44%
2.54.14%95.86%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.12%34.88%
2.538.37%61.63%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.84%25.16%
1.540.12%59.88%
2.516.17%83.83%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Twente
Score012345
0
5.08%
11.29%
12.56%
9.31%
5.18%
2.30%
1
3.84%
8.54%
9.50%
7.04%
3.91%
1.74%
2
1.45%
3.23%
3.59%
2.66%
1.48%
0.66%
3
0.37%
0.81%
0.91%
0.67%
0.37%
0.17%
Excelsior
1-03.84%
2-01.45%
2-13.23%
3-00.37%
3-10.81%
3-20.91%
Draw
0-05.08%
1-18.54%
2-23.59%
3-30.67%
Twente
0-111.29%
0-212.56%
1-29.50%
0-39.31%
1-37.04%
2-32.66%
0-45.18%
1-43.91%
2-41.48%
3-40.37%
0-52.30%
1-51.74%
2-50.66%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Twente
Score012345
0
25.16%
25.91%
13.34%
4.58%
1.18%
0.24%
1
8.81%
9.07%
4.67%
1.60%
0.41%
0.08%
2
1.54%
1.59%
0.82%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-08.81%
2-01.54%
2-11.59%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-025.16%
1-19.07%
2-20.82%
Twente
0-125.91%
0-213.34%
1-24.67%
0-34.58%
1-31.60%
2-30.28%
0-41.18%
1-40.41%
0-50.24%
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