NEC Nijmegen at Twente

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

9.4%16.0%74.6%
WinDrawTwente Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.41
3Final Score 3

Twente

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Volendam-170
W 2-1 at AZ Alkmaar+950
T 1-1 vs Almere City-120
T 1-1 at Heerenveen+240
L 3-1 vs Vitesse+110
Twente
Money Line
T 1-1 at Utrecht-145
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord+265
T 2-2 at Heracles Almelo-170
W 3-0 at Fortuna Sittard-135
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+740+801+750+720+720+720+801+760.9
Twente-271-285-315-285-285-285-285-239.1
Draw+425+429+440+433+433+433+440+459.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+800----+825+825+760.9
Twente-300-----320-320-239.1
Draw+420----+450+450+459.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +775 to +750
Twente ML moved from -326 to -338

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Twente: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Twente ML moved from -300 to -315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-127o3+103o2¾-125o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-109
Underu3+107u3-121u2¾+105u2¾+100u2¾+100u2¾+100u3-121u2¾+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-109
Under-----u2¾+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.31%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 417.55%
Exactly 65.78%
Exactly 81.02%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.56%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 511.03%
Exactly 72.60%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 048.12%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.87%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 08.96%
Exactly 121.61%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 412.64%
Exactly 56.10%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 70.85%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.33%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.95%
Exactly 311.99%
Exactly 51.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 071.27%
Exactly 124.14%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 032.73%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.42%
Exactly 37.60%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals2.44%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals51.79%
Wins by 3+ goals30.03%
Wins by 4+ goals14.62%
Wins by 5+ goals6.05%
Wins by 6+ goals2.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.62%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal6.87%
Wins by 2 goals1.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal22.71%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals15.41%
Wins by 4 goals8.58%
Wins by 5 goals3.92%
Wins by 6 goals1.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.50%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.69%4.31%
1.582.13%17.87%
2.560.82%39.18%
3.538.50%61.50%
4.520.95%79.05%
5.59.91%90.09%
6.54.13%95.87%
7.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.88%48.12%
1.516.68%83.32%
2.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.04%8.96%
1.569.43%30.57%
2.543.35%56.65%
3.522.39%77.61%
4.59.74%90.26%
5.53.64%96.36%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.67%23.33%
1.542.72%57.28%
2.518.01%81.99%
3.56.02%93.98%
4.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
4.31%
10.40%
12.55%
10.09%
6.08%
2.94%
1
3.15%
7.61%
9.18%
7.38%
4.45%
2.15%
2
1.15%
2.78%
3.36%
2.70%
1.63%
0.79%
3
0.28%
0.68%
0.82%
0.66%
0.40%
0.19%
NEC Nijmegen
1-03.15%
2-01.15%
2-12.78%
3-00.28%
3-10.68%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-04.31%
1-17.61%
2-23.36%
3-30.66%
Twente
0-110.40%
0-212.55%
1-29.18%
0-310.09%
1-37.38%
2-32.70%
0-46.08%
1-44.45%
2-41.63%
3-40.40%
0-52.94%
1-52.15%
2-50.79%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Score012345
0
23.33%
26.05%
14.55%
5.42%
1.51%
0.34%
1
7.90%
8.82%
4.93%
1.83%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.34%
1.49%
0.83%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.90%
2-01.34%
2-11.49%
3-00.15%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.33%
1-18.82%
2-20.83%
Twente
0-126.05%
0-214.55%
1-24.93%
0-35.42%
1-31.83%
2-30.31%
0-41.51%
1-40.51%
0-50.34%
1-50.11%