Excelsior at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Excelsior

2.4%6.2%91.4%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.69
1Final Score 3

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+190
L 2-4 at Twente+950
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk+260
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+1050
T 2-2 at Utrecht+430
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 4-0 at AZ Alkmaar-120
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-650
W 2-1 at Feyenoord+200
W 3-0 at Twente+105
W 0-4 vs Zwolle-1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+2370+3409+3000+3500+3374+3500+3500+3676.8
PSV Eindhoven-1011-1792-2000-2000-2053-2000-1792-984.4
Draw+1017+1454+1200+1350+1378+1350+1454+1421.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+2250----+3000+3000+3676.8
PSV Eindhoven-1400-----2200-2200-984.4
Draw+1250----+1500+1500+1421.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +3000 to +2800
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -1757 to -1792

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +2375 to +2300
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -1800 to -2200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4½+117o4½-101o4¼-105o4½-105o4½-101o4½-105o4¼-105o4½+104
Underu4½-137u4½-117u4¼-115u4½-115u4½-117u4½-115u4½-115u4½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4½+104
Under-----u4½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.46%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 419.41%
Exactly 611.57%
Exactly 83.69%
Exactly 100.73%
 
Exactly 16.16%
Exactly 318.36%
Exactly 516.42%
Exactly 76.99%
Exactly 91.74%
Exactly 110.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 058.10%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 28.56%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 02.51%
Exactly 19.24%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 419.28%
Exactly 514.21%
Exactly 68.73%
Exactly 74.60%
Exactly 82.12%
Exactly 90.87%
Exactly 100.32%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.12%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 48.64%
Exactly 61.10%
 
Exactly 127.64%
Exactly 317.66%
Exactly 53.38%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 077.77%
Exactly 119.55%
Exactly 22.46%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 018.15%
Exactly 130.97%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 315.03%
Exactly 46.41%
Exactly 52.19%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals78.52%
Wins by 3+ goals60.13%
Wins by 4+ goals40.52%
Wins by 5+ goals24.01%
Wins by 6+ goals12.57%
Wins by 7+ goals5.85%
Wins by 8+ goals2.43%
Wins by 9+ goals0.90%
Wins by 10+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal1.89%
Wins by 2 goals0.39%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal12.87%
Wins by 2 goals18.39%
Wins by 3 goals19.61%
Wins by 4 goals16.51%
Wins by 5 goals11.44%
Wins by 6 goals6.72%
Wins by 7 goals3.42%
Wins by 8 goals1.53%
Wins by 9 goals0.61%
Wins by 10 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.54%1.46%
1.592.38%7.62%
2.579.35%20.65%
3.560.99%39.01%
4.541.57%58.43%
5.525.15%74.85%
6.513.58%86.42%
7.56.59%93.41%
8.52.90%97.10%
9.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.90%58.10%
1.510.35%89.65%
2.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.49%2.51%
1.588.25%11.75%
2.571.21%28.79%
3.550.28%49.72%
4.531.00%69.00%
5.516.79%83.21%
6.58.05%91.95%
7.53.46%96.54%
8.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.88%14.12%
1.558.25%41.75%
2.531.19%68.81%
3.513.53%86.47%
4.54.89%95.11%
5.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
1.46%
5.37%
9.90%
12.16%
11.20%
8.26%
1
0.79%
2.92%
5.37%
6.60%
6.08%
4.48%
2
0.21%
0.79%
1.46%
1.79%
1.65%
1.22%
Excelsior
1-00.79%
2-00.21%
2-10.79%
Draw
0-01.46%
1-12.92%
2-21.46%
3-30.32%
PSV Eindhoven
0-15.37%
0-29.90%
1-25.37%
0-312.16%
1-36.60%
2-31.79%
0-411.20%
1-46.08%
2-41.65%
3-40.30%
0-58.26%
1-54.48%
2-51.22%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Score01234567
0
14.12%
24.09%
20.55%
11.69%
4.99%
1.70%
0.48%
0.12%
1
3.55%
6.06%
5.17%
2.94%
1.25%
0.43%
0.12%
0.03%
2
0.45%
0.76%
0.65%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-03.55%
2-00.45%
2-10.76%
Draw
0-014.12%
1-16.06%
2-20.65%
PSV Eindhoven
0-124.09%
0-220.55%
1-25.17%
0-311.69%
1-32.94%
2-30.37%
0-44.99%
1-41.25%
2-40.16%
0-51.70%
1-50.43%
0-60.48%
1-60.12%
0-70.12%
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