Excelsior at Almere City

Updated

Excelsior

19.5%24.3%56.2%
WinDrawAlmere City Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.66
1Final Score 2

Almere City

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Utrecht+205
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+220
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+3000
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+190
L 2-4 at Twente+950
Almere City
Money Line
L 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven+2500
T 0-0 vs Fortuna Sittard+140
W 1-0 at Volendam+140
W 0-5 vs Vitesse+130
L 1-4 at AZ Alkmaar+1225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+250-+235+250+255+250+255+267.3
Almere City+100-+115+115+114+115+115+125.6
Draw+250-+240+235+242+235+242+251.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+255----+250+250+267.3
Almere City+100----+110+110+125.6
Draw+270----+235+235+251.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Almere City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +245 to +235
Almere City ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Almere City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Almere City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +260 to +250
No Steam Moves On Almere City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o2½+102o2½-102o2½+100o2½-102o2½+102o2½+107
Underu3-110-u2½-122u2½-118u2½-118u2½-118u2½-118u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-110 to u2¾-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.99%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.58%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.18%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 042.08%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.76%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 018.98%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 314.52%
Exactly 46.03%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.03%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.29%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 066.98%
Exactly 126.84%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 046.33%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.71%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals6.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals30.78%
Wins by 3+ goals13.41%
Wins by 4+ goals4.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.40%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Almere City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal13.23%
Wins by 2 goals4.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.22%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals17.36%
Wins by 3 goals8.65%
Wins by 4 goals3.36%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.01%7.99%
1.571.83%28.17%
2.546.32%53.68%
3.524.83%75.17%
4.511.25%88.75%
5.54.39%95.61%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.92%42.08%
1.521.50%78.50%
2.55.73%94.27%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.02%18.98%
1.549.48%50.52%
2.523.28%76.72%
3.58.76%91.24%
4.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.97%31.03%
1.532.66%67.34%
2.511.41%88.59%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Almere City
Score012345
0
7.99%
13.27%
11.03%
6.11%
2.54%
0.84%
1
6.91%
11.49%
9.55%
5.29%
2.20%
0.73%
2
2.99%
4.97%
4.13%
2.29%
0.95%
0.32%
3
0.86%
1.43%
1.19%
0.66%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.19%
0.31%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Excelsior
1-06.91%
2-02.99%
2-14.97%
3-00.86%
3-11.43%
3-21.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.31%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.99%
1-111.49%
2-24.13%
3-30.66%
Almere City
0-113.27%
0-211.03%
1-29.55%
0-36.11%
1-35.29%
2-32.29%
0-42.54%
1-42.20%
2-40.95%
3-40.27%
0-50.84%
1-50.73%
2-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Almere City
Score01234
0
31.03%
23.88%
9.19%
2.36%
0.45%
1
12.44%
9.57%
3.68%
0.94%
0.18%
2
2.49%
1.92%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.33%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-012.44%
2-02.49%
2-11.92%
3-00.33%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.03%
1-19.57%
2-20.74%
Almere City
0-123.88%
0-29.19%
1-23.68%
0-32.36%
1-30.94%
2-30.19%
0-40.45%
1-40.18%
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