Twente at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Twente

53.8%24.2%22.1%
Twente WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.68Projected Goals 0.99
0Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar-120
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam-125
W 2-4 vs Excelsior-400
W 3-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-105
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+240
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 2-2 at Feyenoord+1750
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard-105
W 3-1 at Zwolle+215
L 2-1 vs Ajax+330
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-116-107-115-115-115-115-107-103.9
NEC Nijmegen+304+289+290+295+295+295+295+314.7
Draw+290+276+270+282+282+282+282+301.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-120-----115-115-103.9
NEC Nijmegen+315----+300+300+314.7
Draw+280----+275+275+301.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -105 to -115
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +285 to +270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 10.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twente: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -120 to -130
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +335 to +300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-139o3+110o2¾-112o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-116o2¾-112o2¾-105
Underu2½+117u3-130u2¾-108u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾-104u3-130u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-105
Under-----u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-118 to u2¾-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.1%
 
No48.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.91%
Exactly 224.67%
Exactly 414.68%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.47%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 018.54%
Exactly 131.25%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 314.79%
Exactly 46.23%
Exactly 52.10%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 037.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.03%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.16%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 045.83%
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 213.95%
Exactly 33.63%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals29.30%
Wins by 3+ goals12.78%
Wins by 4+ goals4.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals7.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals16.52%
Wins by 3 goals8.22%
Wins by 4 goals3.21%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal14.30%
Wins by 2 goals5.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.09%6.91%
1.574.62%25.38%
2.549.94%50.06%
3.527.97%72.03%
4.513.29%86.71%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.46%18.54%
1.550.21%49.79%
2.523.88%76.12%
3.59.10%90.90%
4.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.72%37.28%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.97%29.03%
1.535.07%64.93%
2.512.86%87.14%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
6.91%
6.82%
3.37%
1.11%
0.27%
1
11.65%
11.49%
5.67%
1.86%
0.46%
2
9.81%
9.68%
4.78%
1.57%
0.39%
3
5.51%
5.44%
2.68%
0.88%
0.22%
4
2.32%
2.29%
1.13%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.78%
0.77%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
Twente
1-011.65%
2-09.81%
2-19.68%
3-05.51%
3-15.44%
3-22.68%
4-02.32%
4-12.29%
4-21.13%
4-30.37%
5-00.78%
5-10.77%
5-20.38%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.91%
1-111.49%
2-24.78%
3-30.88%
NEC Nijmegen
0-16.82%
0-23.37%
1-25.67%
0-31.11%
1-31.86%
2-31.57%
0-40.27%
1-40.46%
2-40.39%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
29.03%
13.26%
3.03%
0.46%
1
22.64%
10.34%
2.36%
0.36%
2
8.83%
4.04%
0.92%
0.14%
3
2.30%
1.05%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.45%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Twente
1-022.64%
2-08.83%
2-14.04%
3-02.30%
3-11.05%
3-20.24%
4-00.45%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.03%
1-110.34%
2-20.92%
NEC Nijmegen
0-113.26%
0-23.03%
1-22.36%
0-30.46%
1-30.36%
2-30.14%
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