Excelsior at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Excelsior

16.3%21.1%62.7%
WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.98
2Final Score 5

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Vitesse+110
L 2-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
L 3-0 vs Twente+450
L 1-2 at Almere City+250
T 1-1 vs Utrecht+205
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk+195
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+375
L 0-4 at Utrecht+410
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen+125
W 1-0 at Volendam+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+293+318+295+315+321+315+321+335.7
Fortuna Sittard-112-114-115-115-116-115-114-103.9
Draw+289+272+260+265+274+265+274+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Excelsior+300----+315+315+335.7
Fortuna Sittard-110-----115-115-103.9
Draw+260----+265+265+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +310 to +295
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Excelsior: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Excelsior: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Excelsior ML moved from +300 to +290
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-123o2½-122o2½-110o2½-117o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½+111u2½+105u2½+102u2½-110u2½-101u2½-110u2½+105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.66%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.04%
Exactly 64.41%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.25%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 040.92%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 013.82%
Exactly 127.35%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.85%
Exactly 48.83%
Exactly 53.49%
Exactly 61.15%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.45%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 310.37%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 066.12%
Exactly 127.36%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 040.00%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals5.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals38.11%
Wins by 3+ goals18.89%
Wins by 4+ goals7.72%
Wins by 5+ goals2.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal11.05%
Wins by 2 goals3.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals19.23%
Wins by 3 goals11.16%
Wins by 4 goals5.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.34%5.66%
1.578.10%21.90%
2.554.76%45.24%
3.532.42%67.58%
4.516.38%83.62%
5.57.16%92.84%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.08%40.92%
1.522.52%77.48%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.18%13.82%
1.558.82%41.18%
2.531.76%68.24%
3.513.91%86.09%
4.55.08%94.92%
5.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.55%26.45%
1.538.37%61.63%
2.514.98%85.02%
3.54.61%95.39%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
5.66%
11.19%
11.07%
7.30%
3.61%
1.43%
1
5.05%
10.00%
9.90%
6.53%
3.23%
1.28%
2
2.26%
4.47%
4.42%
2.92%
1.44%
0.57%
3
0.67%
1.33%
1.32%
0.87%
0.43%
0.17%
4
0.15%
0.30%
0.29%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Excelsior
1-05.05%
2-02.26%
2-14.47%
3-00.67%
3-11.33%
3-21.32%
4-00.15%
4-10.30%
4-20.29%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.66%
1-110.00%
2-24.42%
3-30.87%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.19%
0-211.07%
1-29.90%
0-37.30%
1-36.53%
2-32.92%
0-43.61%
1-43.23%
2-41.44%
3-40.43%
0-51.43%
1-51.28%
2-50.57%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
26.45%
24.23%
11.10%
3.39%
0.78%
0.14%
1
10.94%
10.03%
4.59%
1.40%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.26%
2.07%
0.95%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Excelsior
1-010.94%
2-02.26%
2-12.07%
3-00.31%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-026.45%
1-110.03%
2-20.95%
Fortuna Sittard
0-124.23%
0-211.10%
1-24.59%
0-33.39%
1-31.40%
2-30.29%
0-40.78%
1-40.32%
0-50.14%
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