Vitesse at Excelsior

Updated

Vitesse

34.4%28.2%37.4%
Vitesse WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Vitesse
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Volendam-165
L 2-3 at Heracles Almelo+240
L 2-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles+185
L 0-1 at Zwolle+230
L 2-1 vs Feyenoord+1300
Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+315
L 3-0 vs Twente+450
L 1-2 at Almere City+250
T 1-1 vs Utrecht+205
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+190+246+230+245+249+245+249+262.4
Excelsior+125+107+110+104+105+104+110+114.3
Draw+260+273+255+270+274+270+274+288.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+215----+240+240+262.4
Excelsior+120----+110+110+114.3
Draw+260----+255+255+288.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from +250 to +242
Excelsior ML moved from +115 to +107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitesse: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitesse ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-140o2¾-115o2¾-108o2¾-110o2¾-108o2½-140o2¾+102
Underu2¾-105u2½+118u2¾-105u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-105u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-117 to o2¾-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.79%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.76%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.53%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 032.25%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.65%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 030.37%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.57%
Exactly 38.57%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.10%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 059.22%
Exactly 131.03%
Exactly 28.13%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 057.59%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 28.77%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals13.88%
Wins by 3+ goals4.27%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals15.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitesse
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal20.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal21.52%
Wins by 2 goals10.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.83%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.21%9.79%
1.567.45%32.55%
2.541.02%58.98%
3.520.54%79.46%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.75%32.25%
1.531.26%68.74%
2.510.60%89.40%
3.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.63%30.37%
1.533.44%66.56%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.90%34.10%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.79%
11.67%
6.95%
2.76%
0.82%
0.20%
1
11.08%
13.21%
7.87%
3.13%
0.93%
0.22%
2
6.27%
7.47%
4.45%
1.77%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.37%
2.82%
1.68%
0.67%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.67%
0.80%
0.48%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.18%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-011.08%
2-06.27%
2-17.47%
3-02.37%
3-12.82%
3-21.68%
4-00.67%
4-10.80%
4-20.48%
4-30.19%
5-00.15%
5-10.18%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-09.79%
1-113.21%
2-24.45%
3-30.67%
Excelsior
0-111.67%
0-26.95%
1-27.87%
0-32.76%
1-33.13%
2-31.77%
0-40.82%
1-40.93%
2-40.53%
3-40.20%
0-50.20%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score01234
0
34.10%
18.82%
5.19%
0.95%
0.13%
1
17.87%
9.86%
2.72%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.68%
2.58%
0.71%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.82%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-017.87%
2-04.68%
2-12.58%
3-00.82%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.10%
1-19.86%
2-20.71%
Excelsior
0-118.82%
0-25.19%
1-22.72%
0-30.95%
1-30.50%
2-30.13%
0-40.13%
Sparta R'dam at NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord at Almere City