PSV Eindhoven at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

69.4%17.8%12.8%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawWin
2.33Projected Goals 0.89
1Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Twente-250
W 1-0 at Go Ahead Eagles-245
T 2-2 vs Feyenoord-115
W 7-1 at Zwolle-450
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo-1350
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Utrecht+280
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+105
W 5-2 at Volendam-165
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+105
T 2-2 at Ajax+470

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-210-257-280-303-283-303-257-251.6
NEC Nijmegen+529+654+600+780+664+780+780+824.6
Draw+391+433+420+440+426+440+440+467.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven-230-----275-275-251.6
NEC Nijmegen+550----+625+625+824.6
Draw+400----+460+460+467.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -286 to -303
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +720 to +710

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -265 to -275
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +615 to +600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+117o3-140o3¼-108o3¼+100o3¼-102o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+109
Underu3½-139u3+118u3¼-112u3¼-120u3¼-118u3¼-120u3¼-112u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3¼-120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.01%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 417.88%
Exactly 66.16%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.90%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.50%
Exactly 72.83%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 09.79%
Exactly 122.76%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 55.53%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 040.96%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.56%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 312.41%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 034.10%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 066.15%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals46.36%
Wins by 3+ goals25.82%
Wins by 4+ goals12.07%
Wins by 5+ goals4.79%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals3.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.97%
Wins by 2 goals20.55%
Wins by 3 goals13.75%
Wins by 4 goals7.28%
Wins by 5 goals3.17%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal8.82%
Wins by 2 goals3.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.99%4.01%
1.583.09%16.91%
2.562.34%37.66%
3.540.10%59.90%
4.522.22%77.78%
5.510.72%89.28%
6.54.56%95.44%
7.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.21%9.79%
1.567.45%32.55%
2.541.02%58.98%
3.520.54%79.46%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.04%40.96%
1.522.48%77.52%
2.56.16%93.84%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.44%22.56%
1.543.85%56.15%
2.518.84%81.16%
3.56.43%93.57%
4.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
4.01%
3.58%
1.60%
0.48%
0.11%
1
9.32%
8.32%
3.71%
1.10%
0.25%
2
10.83%
9.66%
4.31%
1.28%
0.29%
3
8.39%
7.48%
3.34%
0.99%
0.22%
4
4.87%
4.35%
1.94%
0.58%
0.13%
5
2.26%
2.02%
0.90%
0.27%
0.06%
PSV Eindhoven
1-09.32%
2-010.83%
2-19.66%
3-08.39%
3-17.48%
3-23.34%
4-04.87%
4-14.35%
4-21.94%
4-30.58%
5-02.26%
5-12.02%
5-20.90%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-04.01%
1-18.32%
2-24.31%
3-30.99%
4-40.13%
NEC Nijmegen
0-13.58%
0-21.60%
1-23.71%
0-30.48%
1-31.10%
2-31.28%
0-40.11%
1-40.25%
2-40.29%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
22.56%
9.32%
1.93%
0.27%
1
24.27%
10.03%
2.07%
0.29%
2
13.05%
5.39%
1.11%
0.15%
3
4.68%
1.93%
0.40%
0.06%
4
1.26%
0.52%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.27%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-024.27%
2-013.05%
2-15.39%
3-04.68%
3-11.93%
3-20.40%
4-01.26%
4-10.52%
4-20.11%
5-00.27%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-022.56%
1-110.03%
2-21.11%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.32%
0-21.93%
1-22.07%
0-30.27%
1-30.29%
2-30.15%