NEC Nijmegen at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

25.8%25.0%49.2%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+625
L 0-1 at Utrecht+280
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+105
W 5-2 at Volendam-165
W 0-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam+105
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 0-4 at Sparta Rotterdam+225
W 1-3 vs Zwolle-140
T 2-2 at Ajax+490
W 2-5 vs Excelsior-115
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+178+197+185+200+196+200+200+215.4
Fortuna Sittard+144+145+130+136+142+136+145+148.1
Draw+271+238+265+240+244+240+265+257.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+175----+215+215+215.4
Fortuna Sittard+155----+135+135+148.1
Draw+240----+225+225+257.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +204 to +197
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +140 to +131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NEC Nijmegen ML
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2½-104o2½-102o2½-105o2½-102o2½-105o2½-102o2½+104
Underu3-123u2½-112u2½-118u2½-115u2½-116u2½-115u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.6%
 
No47.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.93%
Exactly 224.69%
Exactly 414.66%
Exactly 63.48%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.49%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.83%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.00%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 020.38%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.67%
Exactly 45.44%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.05%
Exactly 222.19%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.14%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 060.68%
Exactly 130.31%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 047.88%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.99%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals9.68%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.61%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals25.59%
Wins by 3+ goals10.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.59%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals6.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal23.60%
Wins by 2 goals14.99%
Wins by 3 goals7.02%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.07%6.93%
1.574.58%25.42%
2.549.89%50.11%
3.527.92%72.08%
4.513.26%86.74%
5.55.43%94.57%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.00%34.00%
1.529.32%70.68%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.62%20.38%
1.547.21%52.79%
2.521.42%78.58%
3.57.75%92.25%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.95%29.05%
1.535.04%64.96%
2.512.84%87.16%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score012345
0
6.93%
11.02%
8.76%
4.65%
1.85%
0.59%
1
7.47%
11.89%
9.46%
5.01%
1.99%
0.63%
2
4.03%
6.41%
5.10%
2.70%
1.08%
0.34%
3
1.45%
2.31%
1.83%
0.97%
0.39%
0.12%
4
0.39%
0.62%
0.49%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
NEC Nijmegen
1-07.47%
2-04.03%
2-16.41%
3-01.45%
3-12.31%
3-21.83%
4-00.39%
4-10.62%
4-20.49%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.93%
1-111.89%
2-25.10%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.02%
0-28.76%
1-29.46%
0-34.65%
1-35.01%
2-32.70%
0-41.85%
1-41.99%
2-41.08%
3-40.39%
0-50.59%
1-50.63%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
29.05%
21.40%
7.88%
1.93%
0.36%
1
14.51%
10.69%
3.94%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.63%
2.67%
0.98%
0.24%
0.04%
3
0.60%
0.44%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
NEC Nijmegen
1-014.51%
2-03.63%
2-12.67%
3-00.60%
3-10.44%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.05%
1-110.69%
2-20.98%
Fortuna Sittard
0-121.40%
0-27.88%
1-23.94%
0-31.93%
1-30.97%
2-30.24%
0-40.36%
1-40.18%
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