AZ Alkmaar at Heracles Almelo

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

60.0%21.7%18.3%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawWin
1.93Projected Goals 0.97
0Final Score 5

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Vitesse-500
W 4-0 at Volendam-575
W 0-4 vs Excelsior-410
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+100
W 0-2 vs Ajax-115
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Twente+1350
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 0-3 at Feyenoord+2200
T 2-2 vs Almere City+175
L 0-1 at Utrecht+680

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-176-215-230-244-225-244-215-207.6
Heracles Almelo+448+599+575+690+615+690+690+730.2
Draw+355+366+350+365+376+365+376+388.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-210-----225-225-207.6
Heracles Almelo+540----+600+600+730.2
Draw+360----+360+360+388.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -238 to -244
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +670 to +660

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -215 to -225
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +635 to +540

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3+118o2¾-112o2¾-105o2¾-111o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾+104
Underu3-116u3-140u2¾-108u2¾-115u2¾-107u2¾-115u3-140u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2¾-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.51%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 416.21%
Exactly 64.54%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.97%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.40%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 014.47%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.42%
Exactly 48.42%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 61.05%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 038.06%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.76%
Exactly 35.72%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.13%
Exactly 223.53%
Exactly 43.53%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.07%
Exactly 310.53%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 040.86%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.37%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 063.94%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals35.66%
Wins by 3+ goals17.26%
Wins by 4+ goals6.90%
Wins by 5+ goals2.29%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals6.19%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal24.21%
Wins by 2 goals18.39%
Wins by 3 goals10.37%
Wins by 4 goals4.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.68%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal12.10%
Wins by 2 goals4.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.49%5.51%
1.578.52%21.48%
2.555.38%44.62%
3.533.01%66.99%
4.516.80%83.20%
5.57.41%92.59%
6.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.53%14.47%
1.557.56%42.44%
2.530.52%69.48%
3.513.10%86.90%
4.54.68%95.32%
5.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.94%38.06%
1.525.17%74.83%
2.57.41%92.59%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.87%26.13%
1.538.80%61.20%
2.515.27%84.73%
3.54.74%95.26%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
5.51%
5.32%
2.57%
0.83%
0.20%
1
10.65%
10.28%
4.97%
1.60%
0.39%
2
10.29%
9.94%
4.80%
1.55%
0.37%
3
6.63%
6.40%
3.09%
1.00%
0.24%
4
3.20%
3.10%
1.49%
0.48%
0.12%
5
1.24%
1.20%
0.58%
0.19%
0.04%
AZ Alkmaar
1-010.65%
2-010.29%
2-19.94%
3-06.63%
3-16.40%
3-23.09%
4-03.20%
4-13.10%
4-21.49%
4-30.48%
5-01.24%
5-11.20%
5-20.58%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.51%
1-110.28%
2-24.80%
3-31.00%
4-40.12%
Heracles Almelo
0-15.32%
0-22.57%
1-24.97%
0-30.83%
1-31.60%
2-31.55%
0-40.20%
1-40.39%
2-40.37%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo
Score0123
0
26.13%
11.68%
2.61%
0.39%
1
23.38%
10.46%
2.34%
0.35%
2
10.46%
4.68%
1.05%
0.16%
3
3.12%
1.40%
0.31%
0.05%
4
0.70%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-023.38%
2-010.46%
2-14.68%
3-03.12%
3-11.40%
3-20.31%
4-00.70%
4-10.31%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-026.13%
1-110.46%
2-21.05%
Heracles Almelo
0-111.68%
0-22.61%
1-22.34%
0-30.39%
1-30.35%
2-30.16%