Fortuna Sittard at Ajax

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

9.6%15.2%75.2%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.58
2Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Excelsior-115
W 1-0 at RKC Waalwijk+195
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+375
L 0-4 at Utrecht+410
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen+125
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+100
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
T 2-2 vs NEC Nijmegen-205
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+550+525+500+530+518+530+530+560.8
Ajax-240-181-190-192-186-192-181-168.0
Draw+380+325+300+330+335+330+335+351.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+550----+490+490+560.8
Ajax-230-----190-190-168.0
Draw+395----+340+340+351.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +534 to +518
Ajax ML moved from -180 to -190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +525 to +490
Ajax ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o2½-118o2½-118o2½-120o2½-116o2½-120o2½-116o2½-109
Underu3+105u2½+100u2½-102u2½+100u2½-102u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.33%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 418.58%
Exactly 67.16%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.34%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.64%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 043.98%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.84%
Exactly 34.06%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.58%
Exactly 119.56%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 413.98%
Exactly 57.21%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.71%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 45.30%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 313.47%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 068.36%
Exactly 126.00%
Exactly 24.94%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.29%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.60%
Exactly 38.60%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals2.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.61%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals53.60%
Wins by 3+ goals32.27%
Wins by 4+ goals16.48%
Wins by 5+ goals7.21%
Wins by 6+ goals2.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.90%
Wins by 8+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal6.87%
Wins by 2 goals2.16%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.56%
Wins by 2 goals21.32%
Wins by 3 goals15.80%
Wins by 4 goals9.27%
Wins by 5 goals4.48%
Wins by 6 goals1.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.67%3.33%
1.585.32%14.68%
2.566.04%33.96%
3.544.18%55.82%
4.525.59%74.41%
5.512.95%87.05%
6.55.79%94.21%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.02%43.98%
1.519.89%80.11%
2.55.06%94.94%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.42%7.58%
1.572.86%27.14%
2.547.64%52.36%
3.525.95%74.05%
4.511.97%88.03%
5.54.75%95.25%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.29%20.71%
1.546.68%53.32%
2.521.01%78.99%
3.57.53%92.47%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.33%
8.60%
11.09%
9.54%
6.15%
3.17%
1
2.74%
7.07%
9.11%
7.83%
5.05%
2.61%
2
1.13%
2.90%
3.74%
3.22%
2.07%
1.07%
3
0.31%
0.79%
1.02%
0.88%
0.57%
0.29%
Fortuna Sittard
1-02.74%
2-01.13%
2-12.90%
3-00.31%
3-10.79%
3-21.02%
Draw
0-03.33%
1-17.07%
2-23.74%
3-30.88%
4-40.12%
Ajax
0-18.60%
0-211.09%
1-29.11%
0-39.54%
1-37.83%
2-33.22%
0-46.15%
1-45.05%
2-42.07%
3-40.57%
0-53.17%
1-52.61%
2-51.07%
3-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Score012345
0
20.71%
24.73%
14.77%
5.88%
1.76%
0.42%
1
7.88%
9.41%
5.62%
2.24%
0.67%
0.16%
2
1.50%
1.79%
1.07%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.19%
0.23%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.88%
2-01.50%
2-11.79%
3-00.19%
3-10.23%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-020.71%
1-19.41%
2-21.07%
Ajax
0-124.73%
0-214.77%
1-25.62%
0-35.88%
1-32.24%
2-30.43%
0-41.76%
1-40.67%
2-40.13%
0-50.42%
1-50.16%