PSV Eindhoven at Ajax

Updated

PSV Eindhoven

43.9%25.2%30.9%
PSV Eindhoven WinDrawAjax Win
1.53Projected Goals 1.24
1Final Score 1

Ajax

Last 5 Games

PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Almere City-1450
T 1-1 at Utrecht-280
W 1-3 vs Excelsior-2200
W 4-0 at AZ Alkmaar-120
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen-650
Ajax
Money Line
W 4-2 at Heracles Almelo-180
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-400
W 3-2 at Go Ahead Eagles-120
T 2-2 vs Zwolle-475
W 1-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+116+101-105-107-106-107+101+103.1
Ajax+228+232+220+239+242+239+242+255.9
Draw+267+314+320+320+325+320+325+341.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
PSV Eindhoven+100-----105-105+103.1
Ajax+240----+225+225+255.9
Draw+290----+335+335+341.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +100 to -103
Ajax ML moved from +238 to +232

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

PSV Eindhoven ML moved from +100 to -105
Ajax ML moved from +240 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+104o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-104
Underu3-118u3½-122u3¼-102u3¼-105u3¼+100u3¼-105u3½-122u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-112 to o3-136
The Under moved from u3¼-105 to u3-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.6%
 
No44.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.30%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.34%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.41%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.48%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 021.74%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 312.87%
Exactly 44.91%
Exactly 51.50%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 028.95%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 049.34%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 212.31%
Exactly 32.90%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 056.33%
Exactly 132.33%
Exactly 29.28%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals21.77%
Wins by 3+ goals8.58%
Wins by 4+ goals2.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals12.97%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.05%
Wins by 2 goals13.19%
Wins by 3 goals5.86%
Wins by 4 goals2.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals8.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.70%6.30%
1.576.30%23.70%
2.552.22%47.78%
3.530.04%69.96%
4.514.70%85.30%
5.56.21%93.79%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.26%21.74%
1.545.08%54.92%
2.519.77%80.23%
3.56.89%93.11%
4.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.05%28.95%
1.535.16%64.84%
2.512.92%87.08%
3.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.62%63.38%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score012345
0
6.30%
7.80%
4.84%
2.00%
0.62%
0.15%
1
9.61%
11.91%
7.38%
3.05%
0.94%
0.23%
2
7.33%
9.08%
5.63%
2.33%
0.72%
0.18%
3
3.73%
4.62%
2.86%
1.18%
0.37%
0.09%
4
1.42%
1.76%
1.09%
0.45%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.43%
0.54%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
PSV Eindhoven
1-09.61%
2-07.33%
2-19.08%
3-03.73%
3-14.62%
3-22.86%
4-01.42%
4-11.76%
4-21.09%
4-30.45%
5-00.43%
5-10.54%
5-20.33%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.30%
1-111.91%
2-25.63%
3-31.18%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-17.80%
0-24.84%
1-27.38%
0-32.00%
1-33.05%
2-32.33%
0-40.62%
1-40.94%
2-40.72%
3-40.37%
0-50.15%
1-50.23%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Score01234
0
27.79%
15.95%
4.58%
0.88%
0.13%
1
19.64%
11.27%
3.23%
0.62%
0.09%
2
6.94%
3.98%
1.14%
0.22%
0.03%
3
1.63%
0.94%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.29%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
PSV Eindhoven
1-019.64%
2-06.94%
2-13.98%
3-01.63%
3-10.94%
3-20.27%
4-00.29%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-027.79%
1-111.27%
2-21.14%
Ajax
0-115.95%
0-24.58%
1-23.23%
0-30.88%
1-30.62%
2-30.22%
0-40.13%